Author: cityprepping-author

  • Marti’s Corner – 16

    Marti’s Corner – 16

    Marti's Corner at City PreppingHi Everyone,

    NOTES:

    NOTES:
    * The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-Day Saints has been encouraging its members to be prepared for over 70 years. Did you know that no matter what the church does or says, only about 15% of the members are prepared? That said, it is probably higher than the general population. I hope now that we’ve lived through a sample of what could happen, and with the increased emphasis on preparedness, more families will get serious about it.
    * Here is a good link for growing peppers. Pepper Growing Tips – Complete Gardening Guide on How to Grow Peppers // Grow More Peppers per Plant is one to help you avoid mistakes.
    Pepper Growing Mistakes – How to Avoid or Fix Them…How to Grow Peppers.   I like this gardener because he’s in California. I’m not sure where, but there are palm trees in his yard.
    * We’ve talked some about toiletries this month. Here is what one author has to say: “If during an evacuation, you are exposed to mud, sewage, or other forms of pollution, it is a necessity to be able to get clean as soon as possible. Of course, you can survive without a daily bath, but sores and irritation form rapidly without proper hygiene. Being able to brush your teeth, wash your face, comb your hair, and even wash your body with a wet washcloth will prevent the spread of disease and irritation.” (Salsbury, Barbara, It’s Time To Plan Not Panic, 75-76)
    * Have you ever brushed your teeth with baking soda? I have. It works well to clean teeth. Rinse the brush with hydrogen peroxide. This prevents plaque and gum disease.

    LONG TERM FOCUS: Eggs & Butter

    eggs-in-a-basket
    eggs-in-a-basket

    There are ways to store eggs, including refrigerating long-term and freezing. If you buy eggs from the store, they have been washed, and you will need to apply a coat of mineral oil (I think I used olive oil). These eggs can be kept in a cool place for several months. I kept mine in the fridge for about 9 months, and they were perfectly good.

    You can also freeze eggs. When used in baking, you can’t tell the difference. Some people don’t like the taste of thawed frozen eggs. Others don’t mind. I’ve not tried it, but this article will give you lots of information. 30+ Ways to Preserve Eggs

    Did you know that you can get dehydrated butter?  Augason Farms Butter Powder 2 lbs 4 oz No. 10 Can. You can also “can” butter. People have been doing it for years, but it is NOT approved. I have some butter that I canned, and it is sitting on my shelf as we speak. There are also substitutes for butter. Need a Substitute for Butter? Try These 8 Options.  Basically, these options are Coconut oil, vegetable shortening (especially butter flavored), Vegan butter (made from coconut oil and cashews), olive oil (can be used in a 1:1 ratio for melted butter in a pinch), Greek Yogurt, applesauce, avocado, pumpkin puree. Of all these choices, the powdered butter will store the longest – shortening next.

    SHORT TERM FOCUS: Cinnamon
    What do peanut butter, jam, and honey have in common? Toast, of course. And who doesn’t like cinnamon sugar sprinkled on toast? So, this week, pick up an extra-large jar of cinnamon. Or, if you shop at Winco, they have baggies of spices back in the bulk section. You can store it in a glass jar.

    72-HOUR KIT FOCUS: Baggies

    Prepping for Babies

    Place a few baggies in your kits.  They will come in handy for everything!

    MISCELLANEOUS FOCUS: Babies

    We’ve spent the month talking about shampoo, bars of soap, hair ties, combs, NIX. Let’s just take a minute to think about how we could prepare for babies’ needs. You should consider getting cloth diapers and plastic pants. In addition, you might want to get an extra tube of Desitin or a similar product. In the OLD days, there was no such thing as “baby wipes.” We just used washrags. When they were soiled, we put them (and the diapers) into a diaper pail (just a large plastic container) with a little bleach water in it. When it was time to wash the diapers, we drained off the water and put everything in the washing machine. This would also work if you needed an emergency substitute for toilet paper. Realistically, storing a year’s supply of diapers is not practical.

    FOOD STORAGE RECIPES

    All today’s recipes are from Cooking With Home Storage by Peggy Layton

    Using unflavored gelatin as a substitute for eggs.
    Before starting to mix cookies, cake, or something else, place 3 TB cold water in a mixing bowl and sprinkle 2 tsp gelatin in. Mix thoroughly. Add 1/2 c. boiling water and stir to dissolve. While preparing the batter for the cookies, cake, etc., place the eggs in the freezer to cool the water. When the recipe calls for an egg, take it from the freezer and beat it until frothy. Then add to the batter.

    Fudge Cake

    2 c. flour
    6 TB cocoa powder
    1/4 c. dehydrated eggs
    1 1/2 c. sugar
    1 tsp baking soda
    dash salt
    Sift together dry ingredients, including the egg powder.
    1 1/3 c. water
    3/4 c. vegetable oil
    Add the water and oil. Mix well. Bake in a greased cake pan for 40 min at 350 degrees.

    Fudge Frosting

    1 1/2 c. sugar
    1/2 c. cocoa powder
    1/4 tsp salt
    1/4 c. cornstarch
    2 TB butter powder
    2 c. milk
    Add all ingredients to a saucepan. Cook until thick, stirring constantly. Remove from heat. Cool slightly and add:
    1 tsp vanilla

    Zucchini Creole

    1 lb zucchini squash, peeled and sliced in 1/2 inch rounds.
    1 can diced tomatoes – Add to zucchini
    3 slices bacon, browned and crumbled – add
    1 diced onion
    salt and pepper
    Add to a greased baking dish and bake for 45 minutes at 350.

    Remember to get your “Five Storage Items” when you go to the store this week.

    Marti

  • How to De-Escalate A Hostile Situation

    How to De-Escalate A Hostile Situation

    “Any person capable of angering you becomes your master…”

    ― Epictetus

    Someone is suddenly in your face and loudly berating you.  There are several ways you can react, but do you?  It is impossible not to be drawn into verbal altercations that can easily tip over into hostile encounters.  Human interactions cannot altogether be avoided.  It’s very natural for us to either freeze, fight, or flee, but the best course initially is usually to attempt to de-escalate the situation.  The more you practice the techniques of de-escalation, the better you will be at them.  If you practice the techniques discussed in this video, you will find that you will naturally begin deploying the skills in all your interactions.  You want to remain in control of any conflict situation at all times.  You want to support yourself first, but you also want to help the other individual.  You want to avoid any response or action on your or your party’s part leading to further escalation.  In this blog, I’ll examine a few techniques you can use to attempt to de-escalate a situation.  I am assuming that the situation you find yourself in is capable of de-escalation and that the aggressor is not intent on hurting or robbing you.  If the aggressor has nefarious intentions, de-escalation isn’t probably likely.  Always question the motivations of the aggressor and struggle to understand the true and underlying irritations of the individual confronting you.  The hostile situations in this video are like most everyday encounters.  They are based on misperceptions and steeped in misinformation.  If you can learn to master these skills in everyday life, implementing them in a potential societal collapse situation could be the difference between life and death.  So what can you do to avoid violent altercations?  Let’s take a look…

    RISE ABOVE THE CONFLICT

    Clenched fists, raised voices, pacing or fidgeting, the rooster stance with chest out and arms protruding away from the body, fingers or hands pushing or violating proximal personal boundaries, these are all signs that a person has reached or is nearing a point of hostility.  When the alarm response occurs in a body, there are an estimated fourteen hundred chemical reactions in the body.  The chemicals released into the body are primal.  Chemicals like adrenaline are meant to heighten our focused awareness, elevate heart rate, prime our muscles, and get us ready for fighting or fleeing the situation.  Or, maybe a little of both.  The aggressor has these chemicals flowing, and you do too naturally in response.  Some of these chemicals slow the energy going to the higher reasoning areas of the brain because they are meant to filter out our surroundings and zero in on the specific threat we face.  You may become unaware of things happening far away and get almost tunnel vision and lightning focus on your aggressor.  Keeping calm and keeping your higher reasoning brain in step with your reactive brain will equip you to navigate the situation appropriately. Calm yourself before interacting.  Concentrate on being the slowest breathing person in the general area.  Take a deep breath.  Use a low and calm tone of voice.  Do not react and do not get defensive.  Appear calm.  Maintain a neutral facial expression.  Keep your hands open and in front of your body.  Don’t point at the person.  Try to maintain a safe distance.  You want to remain 3-4 feet away from the person if possible at the absolute minimum.  All of these are proven techniques for de-escalating a conflict.  The first thing you must do to de-escalate the situation is gain control of yourself.  I once heard a combat-hardened veteran say that he derived his public speaking calm and confidence by knowing that if things ever did get out of hand, he would be able to kill everyone in the room.  Of course, things never got out of hand, but just assuring himself with the thought was enough for him to contain and control these chemicals that would have otherwise made him nervous in front of an audience.  You may have heard of the other less serious and more humorous technique of picturing the audience naked.  This, too, helps to stifle the overflow of the anxiety-causing chemicals, as it projects one’s own feelings of vulnerability onto the audience.  Another technique is to just for a moment reflect upon the last situation you de-escalated successfully and tell yourself, “I got this too.”  Whatever technique you use to control these chemicals coursing through your body is up to you, but you need to take this millisecond pause to calm yourself and engage in the safest and most rational means you can to diffuse the aggressor.  Otherwise, you risk even more chemicals being released, and your judgment becoming clouded.    Taking an intentional moment before responding can force a moment of reflection in the aggressor.  If you pause and intentionally focus on calming yourself, calming your breathing, the aggressor will most likely take a moment and evaluate whether you have listened to them.  This injects feedback into the person’s self-reflection loop, which may be enough to ratchet down the conflict.  The aggressor may question their current means of expression or if you are the appropriate target of their outrage. Remember that your stress level will either contribute to the escalation or contribute to the de-escalation.  Your stress is a reflection of your ability to cope.  It is also critical to note that in most cases, a situation will not move from the fronting stage to the attack stage if the would-be attacker feels that he will lose the physical altercation.  Calm, confident, and not rising to the aggressor’s challenge is intimidating to the aggressor.  It leaves them questioning what hidden powers you have to remain calm.  In quietness and confidence shall be your strength.  From the very start, be like the lion, unmoved and confident.  Escalation often requires both parties in the conflict.

    CHOOSE YOUR WORDS AND BODY LANGUAGE CAREFULLY

    If your response is to become defensive immediately, you will not be able to de-escalate the situation.  If you clench your fists or poke your finger in the face of the aggressor, the situation will likely get more intense.  If you use words that disvalue the other person’s communication, motivations, or beliefs, you will escalate the situation.  First, watch the position of your hands.  One method is palms up with both hands in front of you as you talk.  This is the giving position.  It isn’t vulnerable as much as it is empathetic.  The aggressor does not feel further threatened, though you have your hands in front of you should you need to defend yourself.  Talking with your hands in the stop position with your fingers up and the palms facing the individual unconsciously tell the aggressor to stop.  This position can also escalate the situation depending upon the defiance level and intent of the aggressor.  Do not keep your hands in your pocket or behind your back, as the unconscious perception that you are hiding something could fuel an escalation. Your words need to be as calculated as your hand movements.  If you say to the person, “You need to calm down.”  “Stop being angry.”  “You’re overreacting.” or “Back off.”  You are likely just going to add fuel to the fire.  As a husband, I’ve learned the hard way that this never helps in any arguments.  Try to use the person’s name, but offer yours first, so they know you simply wish to provide them with this courtesy of recognition.  For instance, you might say, “I understand what you are saying.  Let’s hear each other out.  My name is John. What’s yours?”  This can provide the person with the sense that their concerns are being heard.  It is an offer of empathy, and empathy is hard to dismiss.  This alone may calm a situation.  Acknowledging their anger lets the aggressor know you hear them, and their offense is valid.  It also signals that you are not intent on escalating the situation, but you are more intent on hearing them out.  You can take this a step further by applying Rogerian logic.

    EMPATHY AND ROGERIAN LOGIC

    Most people really just want the opportunity to be heard.  Even if you disagree with the person’s position, expressing your understanding of their position and why they may feel a particular way is the first step to resolving or diffusing the conflict.  To accomplish this, you have to make an earnest attempt to hear the person and understand what they are honestly saying.  You must not be condescending in your response, regardless of how contrarian or absurd the person’s argument or conflict may seem.  Instead, try saying, “If I hear you correctly, you are saying that…” and then do your best to summarize the person’s main points.  They may want to clarify, but their contemplation of your summary may be enough to knock them out of their overheated primal mind and into their more rational mind.  Their elaborations may be off-topic.  This will mean that either their frustrations are deep-rooted and complex or they may be a little mentally off-kilter.  This method of listening and summarizing is called Rogerian argument or Rogerian rhetoric.  It is a form of argumentative reasoning that aims to establish a middle ground between parties with opposing viewpoints or goals. Psychotherapist Carl Rogers initially defined it, and it has been used countless times to instantly take the wind out of an argument’s sails. Just like kids who are fighting may eventually forget what they were fighting about in the first place, the same can be true for adults.  People get worked up by things they read on the internet or things they accept as truth.  They become outraged, and they sometimes vent that outrage upon people who they initially believe are the problem.  When you show them that you are not part of the problem they have perceived or gently force them to confront the confusion and perplexity that you reflect back from their verbal assault, you can sometimes evoke a moment of recognition and clarity in the person. I have a friend who is excellent at coaxing people to face themselves.  Specifically, when a person tells him an off-color and offensive joke or makes a snide remark meant to attack or demonize someone else, he will simply say, “What?” like he hasn’t heard them. Then the person has to repeat it.  Often they will have to rephrase it.  Again, he will respond with “What?”  The person then doesn’t know if he is being heard or if he is being toyed with.  The person usually gives up after the second or third time with a dismissive, “Nevermind.” or “Forget it.”  They are unsure if the person they are saying the snide remark to is on their side, and they have had to confront their own underlying meanness.  Not everyone is inclined to laugh along with the viciousness of others. Another technique is to use the person’s name but offer yours first, so they know you simply wish to provide them with this courtesy of recognition.  For instance, you might say, “I understand what you are saying.  Let’s hear each other out.  My name is John. What’s yours?”  This can provide the person with the sense that their concerns are being heard.  It is an offer of empathy, and empathy is hard to dismiss.  This alone may calm a situation.  Your interactions with a hostile aggressor should be the same.  They should gently coax that person into seeing the absurdity or silliness of their rage.  But what if you don’t have the chance to really de-escalate the situation?  What if you are dealing with someone hell-bent on confrontation or crazy?

    BE AWARE OF SPACE

    Being aware of the bubble of space around a person is a clear indicator of whether the situation can swiftly escalate further.  We all have a comfort zone around us, and we all have an awareness of other people’s comfort zones.  When someone doesn’t seem to be aware of your comfort zone, or they are in your face and too close for comfort, as they say, your option should be raising your hand in the gentle stop motion and taking a step back.  If the person continues, or they still seem to be unaware of your proxemic space, it may indicate that the person is off-kilter a bit, to put it nicely.  One of the first signs of evident mental instability is that the person is unaware of other people’s personal space. If you can maintain a space of at least three feet, you can very likely, slowly, increase that space by baby-stepping to the side and back at intervals along with the conversation.  The resulting distance may lead the person to focus their outrage on a closer person.  Your goal in de-escalation should always be to remove yourself from the confrontation if you feel there is no chance of resolution. Believe it or not, if the aggressor is very much in your personal space, subtly placing your hand over your nose and mouth like you are shielding yourself from their bad breath while also not trying to embarrass them might actually work.  You are trying to evoke a moment of self-reflection to pull them out of their primal mind and into their rational mind.  Using your hand in this manner is non-threatening, protects your face, and puts your hands in a more response-ready position.

    WHEN DE-ESCALATION ISN’T POSSIBLE

    There are times when words won’t work.  The inconsolable, the crazy, the hell-bent may be too far into their more primal mind to ever be pulled out without hours of therapy and possibly medication.  Sadly, this is a reality, and you may have seen this in people you have known.  People believe many outlandish theories these days, even though every other source tells them the view is incorrect.  In these cases, the previously outlined forms of engagement may still work.  Trying to understand what the person’s underlying motivations are may allow you to at least calm them enough for others to arrive or for more benign and sympathetic observers to gather.  There are still techniques to deal with these seemingly impossible to de-escalate situations. You could try to suggest another time by saying you hear the person, and their concerns seem pretty valid, but would it be possible to discuss them at another time.  You could express that you have something very pressing to get to right now, but you want a chance to hear them out.  Your goal is not really to set up a time to listen to them, it’s to get away from the person.  To this end, you could say let me grab a pen and paper to write down my contact information.  You might say let me get someone who has more power than me to help you and hear you out.  Again, whatever deception you deploy, its purpose is to buy you a few moments to get away.  If words are proving useful or the person is becoming more physically aggressive or lays hands on you, there are few other options but deflection, retreat, or a sudden and overwhelming physical response.  In some cases, you are left with no alternative but to jump from calm to an aggressive response.  If you are forced to violence in retaliation to someone physically violating your space, be certain that your response is justifiable, swift, and follow it with an attempt to retreat or escape the situation.  Do not linger.  

    CONCLUSION

    If the situation can be diffused and de-escalated, it will likely be due to one of the techniques I have outlined here.  Human interaction and confrontation are unavoidable.  In a grid down scenario in which medical attention may not be available, it’s even more important to consider the fact that avoiding conflict altogether and escaping the situation is all the more critical.  While it is easy to allow our pride to be bruised and give in to the natural desire to defend our position, if there is no way to seek out medical care in the event we get harmed, a scuffle that could have been avoided can quickly escalate into a bigger problem. What do you think? What are your best tactics for de-escalating a conflict?  What’s the last altercation you were in and why?  As always, please stay safe out there.
  • How The Unprepared Will Act After SHTF

    How The Unprepared Will Act After SHTF

    “I’m afraid that I won’t do the right thing in the face of disaster.

    Or, I’m afraid I will be stupidly brave.”

    ― Ada Limon, Bright Dead Things

    We would like to think that the social norms and laws that we have thoughtfully debated and created over time will hold together the fabric of our civil peace. Still, after a massive SHTF disaster, the peaceful order of our countries and the calm, civil peace, and trust we have in one another will quickly evaporate.  You don’t have to look at national-level events to understand how rapidly things can fall apart.  Even a small regional event can result in chaos all about you.  Some people will be looking simply to survive as they take and steal from others.  Some will seize the opportunity that the chaos and destruction present to loot and pillage.  Whether out of desperation or with nefarious intent, your chances of being caught up or caught in the crossfire of the chaos are high whether you are locked away in your home, or you are ordered to evacuate an area. Destructive disasters like the Northridge Earthquake, hurricanes Katrina and Andrew, Mount St. Helens, or disasters with prolific death tolls like the Boxing Day Tsunami all had similar factors contributing to the holding up or the breaking down of social order in and around the impacted disaster zone.  Whether help and relief response is on the way or no relief is on the horizon will significantly determine how long social order will stand. Regardless of the disaster or death toll, social order will crumble around the edges.  This can result in an avalanche of chaos, and you will see the worst, not the best, of humanity, come out.   In this video, I will examine the aftermath of large-scale regional disasters to extrapolate a timeline of how the social order will break down in more significant, national, or global SHTF-level events.  You need to know whom you can trust, how the social order will unravel, and what you can do to protect yourself.  Let’s find out…

    FACTOR #1: Disaster Extent

    A tornado ripping through the center of your small town isn’t going to lead to a complete breakdown of social order.  Emergency services are usually still available around the perimeter of the disaster zone, and there’s an excellent chance your neighbor who was unaffected by the disaster isn’t going to allow someone to just walk away with your big screen TV or arms full of your possessions.  I know I wouldn’t hesitate to stop and question someone leaving my neighborhood with what is clearly someone else’s valuables under their arms. I don’t even have to know you personally as a neighbor to extend that courtesy to you.  Tornadoes, earthquakes, fires, floods, these all tend to be of your regional variety.  There is an established zone of destruction, and the rest of the world is safe.  The larger the area, the more likely it is that the social fabric may unravel.  An examination of the aftermath of Hurricane Katrina provides insight into how this occurs. On August 29th at about 6 AM, Hurricane Katrina made landfall as a Category 3 on the Gulf Coast of the United States.  By 9 AM, a levee in the Lower Ninth Ward was breached, and the damage went from light to catastrophic.  Thousands of people were trapped in attics and rooftops.  The day before, then-Mayor of New Orleans, Ray Nagin, had called for a mandatory evacuation, so why were people still there?  According to a government hearing on the matter, “the initial evacuation from New Orleans in advance of the storm went relatively well. Approximately 1 million people left the greater New Orleans area in a much more efficient and orderly manner than in hurricane evacuations of years past.”  As the assessment goes on, the problem was that those without access to transportation out of the region found themselves stranded. Among those left behind were thousands of elderly, disabled, and disadvantaged residents.  Also, in that lot were the simply stubborn.  I am sure many of my City Prepping audience can relate.  You’re more inclined to hunker down than evacuate, and the government isn’t going to tell you what to do.  I mean, many had weathered dozens of hurricanes over their lifetimes, and they knew the drill.  None expected the levees to break.  National Guard, Police, and other civil forces are stretched too thin to go door-to-door in the moments before a known and approaching disaster, so hundreds if not thousands are left behind in the destructive zone.  If the disaster’s approach is unknown, so no evacuation order could be given, everyone is stuck in the disaster zone.  The competition for resources in the aftermath is exponentially higher, making your reserves of freshwater, electricity, fire, and food a high-profile target after the stores have been looted. In the case of hurricane Katrina, 15 to 20 thousand people evacuated to the Super Dome, which began to fill slowly with water, though it remained confined only to the field level.  You can imagine the terror and desperation of those trapped in the massive stadium and surrounded by rising floodwaters.  It’s no surprise that within 24 hours, the following early morning, as the winds began to dissipate, the looting started.

    FACTOR #2: Looting

    Looting takes two primary forms.  First, there are opportunistic people with bad intent to begin with.  These are those who, seeing that police services are elsewhere deployed and roads are nearly impassable, will smash the windows and doors of shoe shops, grocery stores, electronic stores, and so forth.  Basically, if a person is grabbing a TV out of a store when the power is out, that’s this type of opportunistic person.  The second main group is composed of the unprepared.  They are more of your desperate variety, but their actions may be just as inexcusable.  Having no food or water reserves on hand or it being wiped out in the cataclysmic event, this second group of people must loot or steal to survive.  Still lacking long-term planning skills, they grab what they can, even if it sustains them only for the moment.  Looting has a zone, as well. Retail stores and grocery stores are looted first, so these districts are the first impacted.  Travel in these districts will become near impossible.  And where are the police?  Of course, they are providing security where they can, but in the case of Katrina, many police officers failed to come into work and opted to care for their own families at the exclusion of their duties.  The size of the store or type of store doesn’t matter to a looter.  Typically, the more expensive the item, the more likely it is to be looted.  Jewelry and TVs have little value in a disaster, but they’ll be the first to be grabbed.  The expensive cuts of meat will be taken in the grocery store long before the dried rice or beans, or Ramen. Looting can be further delineated based upon need.  Is the looting of items that are not immediately needed, like sneakers and TVs, or is the looting desperately needed food and water resources?  There can be crossover in the same group of looters.  The people looting the pharmacy may consist of those searching for insulin and other critical drugs and your typical drug addict.  The degree of looting is a scalable thing that can tell you how dangerous the aftermath of a disaster truly is for you.  If it is opportunistic looting, while not safe, it’s safer than looting out of necessity.  Those seeking food or water out of desperation are driven more by survival than avarice.  As such, they are more likely to take from you without regard.  Realize this critical thing, though, when the looting rises to the level of desperation, it is usually long after the looting out of greed has occurred.  Where one was looting out of desire before, they will join those stealing out of necessity now.   Despite all the chaos and potential fire threats that can come with looting, you are pretty safe from potential violence or robbery from opportunistic looters.  They are more concerned with the easy smash and grab and getaway than they can be bothered with sizing you up and risking their safety to rob you.  Also, looting is a group activity.  When one looter goes in, he or she gives confidence to the next, and there is a collective sense of “Well, if he is going to get some, I will too.”  Looting can turn, though.  When the accessible goods are depleted or when a particular thing is in short supply and high demand, people can reason that without any security forces around; they may take their actions to a higher level and rob you of what you have.  So, the third factor that determines how things unravel in the aftermath of a disaster is a person’s sense of being observed.

    FACTOR #3: Observer Effect

    In the social sciences, there is a hypothesis known as the Hawthorne effect or observer effect.  That is the concept that people change their behavior based upon their being watched or their perception that they may be under observation.  An astute observer can see this every day from the toddler who grabs something she knows she isn’t allowed because she doesn’t believe her mother is watching to the grown adult who runs the yellow or red light if they are confident there are no police around to write a ticket.  The extent of the lawlessness in the disaster area is based upon people’s sense that their actions are unjustifiable to the observer.  If someone knows the police will not be coming for at least an hour, that person is more likely to commit a crime.  If the person knows police won’t come around for days and days if at all, the likelihood is increased again.  If the person in a disaster knows that their crime will likely go unnoticed and without consequence or proof in the future, then the likelihood of committing the crime increases even further.  Impunity and lack of accountability can prompt individuals who may be inclined towards criminal activity into acting upon those repressed impulses. When you walk down the streets in times of complete peace and tranquility, you do so in most countries with the full knowledge and confidence that should anything go wrong, and the police are a phone call away.  You know in some instances that some for-hire security may be available simply by raising your voice.  You know that should these layers fail, you might rely upon your fellow citizens who might come to your aid or observe and testify on your behalf.  Failing all those systems, you know that the National Guard of fellow citizens could come to support you.  You understand that the military might be deployed to assist you, keep order, and maintain the peace if your local authorities have lost control.  There is layer upon layer of security you enjoy because of the unseen observers ready to step in and bring justice and correctness. In countries where the military is known for its corruption and its more authoritarian and self-serving actions, they cultivate a different type of observational threat.  In Aceh, after the tsunami of 2004, the relief efforts were often hampered by the same military intended to protect the citizenry.  According to one province’s mayor, “Due to the ruined access of roads, in the early days, when there was a foreign helicopter delivering aid, the military immediately prevented anyone from taking it even by using violence, and even against children. They kicked the children who were trying to take the milk offered by the foreigners.”  Even if your country’s military acts with the best of intentions, a soldier with a gun pointed at looters will dramatically reduce the number of looters.  When a looter is shot, the amount of looting will decrease dramatically, or the authority doing the shooting will be tested by the crowds and subsequently feared or overthrown.  While people will act differently depending upon whether they feel they are being observed and what repercussions that observation may have on their lives, the fourth factor in determining whether peace can be maintained is the perception of relief and rescue efforts.

    FACTOR #4: Perceptions of Relief & Rescue Efforts

    As I pointed out earlier, there are two distinct types of fires threatening the peace, the fires created by the opportunistic and those created by those acting out of necessity.  Both fires are tempered by the perceptions of relief and rescue efforts.  If help is on the way, peace is more likely to be maintained.  If there is no hope on the horizon, the self-centered motivations that would lead to looting, stealing, robbery, and other crimes and even human rights violations will overtake many people’s rational thinking.  If you are trapped by rising floodwaters on the roof of your one-story house, for instance, do you care about whether it is proper and legal for you to float over to your neighbor’s two-story house and punch a hole into his house? If you know your neighbor has a huge pantry full of food, maybe even preps and long-term stored food, but they were also, you think, out of town when the disaster struck, will you have any problem punching out their glass and getting what you need to survive if you also know that no relief is coming for you?  Now, if you don’t know the person, they aren’t even as close to you as a waving neighbor, would you be more likely to take from their supplies to ensure your survival?  Even if you still wouldn’t, the typical person wouldn’t hesitate to take what they need from whomever they need to if it means they won’t perish.  Relief and rescue efforts are based upon prior historical experience, as well.  If a person was last to receive any aid or assistance before a major disaster struck, they are more likely to push their way to the front of the line in the next disaster or ignore the line altogether to get what they want or need.  If aid before was spotty and sparse, they are more likely to grab any supplies given with greater avarice than to be content with a share of what is needed to get by.  This can be seen in other disasters where relief efforts require armed security and support, or they would swiftly descend into trampling masses, all clamoring for any grain of rice or drop of water.

    Your Assessment Determines Your Actions

    So, what can you do?  How can you know if the aftermath of a disaster could be worse than the disaster and explode into violent, desperate chaos?  First, assess the four factors.  What is the disaster’s zone?  Is it relatively contained, or does it stretch on and on for as far as you can tell?  What type of looting is occurring?  Is it opportunistic only, or is it out of necessity?  To what extent are people feeling like their actions are being scrutinized or may carry consequences?  Finally, what is your and the general population’s perception of rescue and relief efforts?  Is help on the horizon?  When you can assess these four factors, you may then determine your best course of action. Should you stay hidden and hide, thus keeping your preps and your ability to weather the storm a closely guarded secret?  In most cases, this is your best course of action.  The fewer people know about how comfortable and set you are after a disaster has decimated everything around you, the better you will be from a security standpoint.  If the disaster area is contained, relief for the majority is on the horizon, and people are relatively certain bad actions could have bad consequences, you might opt to join in the relief efforts.  Loan a neighbor some food, water, a tent, or other camping supplies.  Cook a large pot of food and take it into some of the worst-hit areas with a few gallons of water.  The choice of your involvement is yours. Likewise, the level you should lockdown and reinforce your perimeters will also be determined by your assessment of these four factors.  If you decide that the masses are desperate, chaos is swirling outside, and no hope of security, relief, or rescue is on the horizon.  You will want to fly as low under the radar in your location as possible.  You should also be ready to show significant force and threat to anyone who knowingly challenges or tests your boundaries or presence in your secure structure.  You should also keep the situation out there that you are factoring in mind when and if you are forced to bug out.  You won’t go unobserved if it takes you an hour to load up your bug out vehicle.  Your route should be along the least populous routes, free of looting targets and as barren as possible.  Roadblocks may not be legal forces.  They may not be intent on your safety and security.  The decision as to whether you need to bug out should solely be dependent upon how secure you feel and how long you can last.  If you don’t have to leave, and there is little chance you will be overrun or burned out, and the disaster is deescalating rather than escalating, you definitely want to stay put and survive it out.

    CONCLUSION

    Human nature and disasters both follow predictable patterns.  Assessing, understanding, and knowing these patterns can both keep you safe after a disaster and illuminate your best courses of action.   The aftermath of any disaster can quickly devolve into the breakdown of social orders and create a climate far worse than the actual disaster that precipitated it.  You need to know how safe it is to trust others during these times, how the social order will predictably unravel, and what you can do to protect yourself. What do you think?  How do you tell the situation outside is getting worse, not better?   As always, please stay safe out there.
  • Marti’s Corner – 15

    Marti’s Corner – 15

    Marti's Corner at City PreppingHi Everyone,

    NOTES:

    * All of my vegetables are planted in containers. Here is a good article about planting in 5-gallon buckets. Bucket Container Planting Vegetables – Using Buckets For Growing Vegetables These buckets are under $3 at Lowes and Home Depot. Considering the cost of planting containers, and if you don’t mind having buckets in your yard, it might be worth it. We’ve collected a lot of our containers at estate sales and such. I’ve also used those fabric bags. I like the 7-gallon size. They are deeper and seem to give the plants more room to grow.
    * I also found this FaceBook page: Tomato Bible. It is NOT just about tomatoes. There are a lot of interesting facts about insects, nutrition, etc. of your garden
    * I found this website where you can download a guide explaining 5 steps for getting prepared Listos California | IECF

    • Get official alerts
    • Make a plan
    • Pack a GO bag
    • Build a STAY box
    • Help friends and neighbors

    There is information explaining each of these things in more detail.

    LONG TERM FOCUS: Eggs

    eggs-in-a-basket
    eggs-in-a-basket

    So, let’s assume you have run out of eggs, you are allergic to eggs, or you are now vegan and won’t eat eggs.  How do you make your favorite foods?  There are substitutes.  Check out this article, 13 Effective Substitutes for Eggs.  Eight of these substitutes are listed here:  applesauce 1/4 c. = 1 egg; mashed bananas 1/4 c. = 1 egg; ground flaxseeds or chia seeds 1 TB seeds _ 3 TB water until fully absorbed; silken tofu 1/4 c. = 1 egg; vinegar and baking soda 1 tsp soda + 1 TB vinegar; yogurt or buttermilk 1/4 c. = 1 egg; Arrowroot powder (it resembles corn starch.  2 TB + 3 TB water = 1 egg

    You can buy dehydrated eggs here: Amazon.com: Augason Farms Dried Whole Egg Product 2 lbs 1 oz No. 10 Can: Sports & Outdoors.

    SHORT TERM FOCUS: Peanut Butter

    “Peanut butter is a very nutrient-dense food that is full of fats, proteins, and carbs.  Peanut butter is also a source of calcium, iron, potassium, vitamin E, and niacin.  As a survival food, this is a great source of energy that can keep your body going for a long time.

    Peanut butter is generally regarded as healthy food and would provide plenty of nutrients in the short term.  However, this food is not a complete source of nutrition and needs to be incorporated into a more balanced diet in the long term.  

    Put simply, peanut butter is a great stop-gap measure for getting calories that you need in a survival situation and can help keep you going short term. Still, you need to incorporate the nutrients found in vegetables, fruits, and meats to maintain your health.” (Is Peanut Butter a Good Survival Food? How Should It Be Stored? – Survival Freedom )

    The storage life of a can of PB powder is about 5 years.  $23 Peanut Butter Powder 

    72-HOUR KIT FOCUS: First Aid Kit (FAK)

    Gift them preparedness

    We went out to Anza-Borrego State Park yesterday.  The very first bench I sat on gave me a sliver in my hand.  A redwood sliver.  These are sometimes hard to remove because the wood breaks so easily, and it doesn’t just “pull” out.  Never fear, I think. I have a FAK (First Aid Kit) with a needle and tweezers.  But, alas, no.  Oh, I had the kit.  But there was no needle, no tweezers.  We stopped at a local market and bought both to save the day.  It looks like I need to review the contents of my FAK.  As you go through your week, every time you need something from the medicine cabinet, think to yourself that you should have that in your FAK.  Be sure to put the needle in a piece of cloth, so it doesn’t get lost in the kit.  I know someone who has one of these:  Tin Box First Aid Kit | Altoids Tin – YouTube.  I thought it was a great idea.

    FOOD STORAGE RECIPES

    Beef Ragu

    This is one of my favorites, and I make it several times a year to rotate the ingredients.

    2 large carrots – chopped fine
    2 large celery stalks – chopped fine

        I pretty much use dehydrated carrots and celery exclusively.  I throw them into the mix. No chopping is needed.

    1 onion – chopped (also use dehydrated)
    4 cloves garlic (don’t chop garlic anymore either.  I use the jars of minced garlic – SO much easier)
    1 jar ground beef (or 1 lb. beef browned and drained)
    1 can diced tomatoes undrained
    1 can beef broth (I use dry bouillon and water to make 2 cups)
    1 can garbanzo beans.  I have dry garbanzo beans and could use them in a pinch, but cans are easier for now)
    3 TB tomato paste (I hate opening a whole can of tomato paste for just 3 TB.  You can get tomato paste in a squeeze tube, but many stores don’t offer that.  If I only use part of the tomato-paste can, I will try to have another meal with tomato sauce, and I’ll use the paste diluted with water.
    2 tsp sugar
    1 1/2 tsp salt
    1 1/2 tsp Italian seasoning
    1 tsp crushed red pepper (I usually reduce this – we are not very spicy people)

    Just put everything in the crockpot for 6 hours – OR simmer it on the stove for about 1 1/2 hours if you forget.  

    Serve over cooked pasta.  I like rigatoni. Sprinkle with parmesan cheese.

    Chicken and Veggie Filled Biscuits

    Biscuits:  

    3 c. flour
    1 tsp salt
    3/4 tsp cream of tartar
    4 1/2 tsp baking powder
    2 TB sugar

        Mix dry ingredients.  Cut in:

    3/4 c. butter (3/4 c. butter powder + 1/2 c. water)

          Amazon.com: Augason Farms Butter Powder 2 lbs 4 oz No. 10 Can: Sports & Outdoors

    Then add:

    1 c. milk
    1 egg (1 TB egg powder and 2 TB water)

    Knead smooth.  Roll out to 12 X 6.  Fold over and roll again.  Do this 3 times.  Roll to 3/4 inch thick and cut into 3-inch rounds.  (You need 24 circles)  Press one circle into muffin tins to make little cups.

    Filling:

    Gather about 1/2 c. of peas, corn, carrots, potatoes.  Use “canned” or dehydrated veggies that have been reconstituted or frozen (probably the easiest).

    Use leftover chicken diced

    Cream Sauce:  

    recommended:  Universal Cream Soup and Sauce Mix (10 oz.) – Shirley J  Add 1 c. mix and 2 c. water
    1/2 tsp dried and crushed rosemary
    salt and pepper
    Add vegetables to each biscuit cup
    Add 1 TB sauce mix

    Top with another biscuit round.  Crimp edges with a fork.  Prick the top with a knife tip.  Bake 425 degrees 10-12 minutes till lightly browned.  Spoon remaining sauce on top to serve.

    ***** alternate white cream sauce recipe:  

    2 TB butter – melt in a saucepan.
    2 TB flour – whisk in
    1/8 tsp salt, dash white pepper – add
    1 c. milk – slowly whisk in milk.  Bring to a boil and stir for 2 minutes or until thickened.

    Easy Chili 

    This is one of my food storage recipes.  Nothing fancy, and everything shelf-stable.

    1-pint ground beef (or 1 lb. hamburger, browned and drained)
    1 diced onion (1 1/2 TB dehydrated onion
    1 large can pinto beans (1 c. dehydrated beans = 3 cups cooked beans)
    1 can tomato soup
    1 can diced tomatoes

    This recipe is so easy to add to mushrooms? Bell peppers? Chilis? Chili powder? Whatever.  Serve with biscuits (because you forgot to start the yeast rolls) or cornbread.    Top with cream cheese or grated cheese.  

    If chili is one of your 19 recipes, then for 6 months, you would need:

    10 pints hamburger
    2 c. dehydrated onions
    3 lbs dried pinto beans or 10 large cans
    10 cans tomato soup
    10 cans diced tomatoes

    When you go shopping this week, decide ahead of time to buy 5 things, 5 things, toward your storage.  Then stick them in a closet.  (You probably should make a list of what you buy and tape it inside the pantry door. You don’t want to forget what you bought and where you put it!  Just sayin’.)  Example:  2 cans tomato soup, 1 large can pinto beans, 1 box Kraft Mac and Cheese, 4-pack of bars of soap, a jar of spaghetti sauce.  Just 5 things.  It’s a start!

    Marti

  • Warning! Massive Shortages Are Coming

    Warning! Massive Shortages Are Coming

    “When the well’s dry, we know the worth of water” – Benjamin Franklin Out of stock, in low supply, sold out, shortages…get used to seeing the terms all over this year and next as the just-in-time manufacturing and distribution system continues to sputter.  Several factors in Twenty-Twenty and Twenty-Twenty-One have caused shortages ranging from the absurd and humorous to the critical and deadly.  Of course, not having chicken nuggets or ketchup packets is just a slight inconvenience; however, it will hit you a little closer to home when manufacturers can’t get the raw materials they need.  Then, prices will continue to go up, and you will pay more for the products you need.  When life-saving medicines are in short supply, they may not be available to you and yours when you are sick or injured.  What is going on with these shortages, and will it continue?  How much worse could it get? In this blog, I will examine why shortages are occurring, many of the shortages we are currently experiencing, possible future shortages, and what you should prep and brace for to insulate yourself from the effects of short supplies.

    WHAT’S HAPPENING

    Years ago, when you wanted a product or good, you had to place an order and wait.  If it was a popular product on a store shelf, in a back warehouse, or off-site at a holding warehouse, you could receive the product in a short amount of time.  If it wasn’t in stock somewhere, an order was placed with a manufacturer, and you would wait, and wait, and wait, until it was finally manufactured because enough other orders were placed to warrant that manufacturer to gather the necessary raw materials and fire up his machines.  It was such a different world just a decade or two ago. In recent years manufacturing moved to countries that could pay less and generate products faster and cheaper.  Delivery systems became more efficient.  Computerization eliminated the need for paper orders to be delivered or transcribed over the phone.  Globalization built up an extremely effective and efficient ordering and delivery system.  As a result, on-hand inventory shrunk, and savings could be realized by not storing large quantities of products on the shelf. In economic terms, supply ramped up slowly to meet demand.  When a product was no longer in demand, manufacturers retooled their factories for a product that was in higher demand.  Raw material producers, manufacturers, distributors, and sales all finely tuned their processes to have as little overhead and product and as much profit as possible.  When the system is working great, it’s paradise.   Imagine you’re in a sports stadium with 50,000 other fans.  There’s enough beer, nachos, hot dogs, and other foods to go around.  The sports venue’s food services have looked at what they typically sell and the maximum capacity of the stadium and cipher out from that the amount of product they were likely to sell.  They then gamble on their accuracy by ordering just that amount of product, let’s say hot dogs, in this case.  If the demand is suddenly higher than average for hot dogs, they run out.  Seizing the opportunity presented by short supply, an independent hot dog vendor might raise his price because the demand is high.  When they are gone, they are gone.  If you really crave a hot dog, you have to pay up. The basic laws of supply and demand still work in the just-in-time systems of today, but they are far more volatile.  Supply has become more efficient and way thinner.  It is now one delivery per month instead of ten, perhaps.  It is one factory manufacturing a given product instead of five factories around the world needed to supply their region of the globe.  It’s now one refinery instead of six.  We can see the proof that this system is susceptible to wider swings and greater volatility today in both significant and seemingly inconsequential shortages.

    NO SHORTAGE OF SHORTAGES

    There are a few shortages I will refer to here as odd because we probably didn’t see it coming, and they don’t impact our lives all that greatly.  So, we tend to shrug them off, scratch our heads, and move on with our lives.  I won’t go too in-depth into these, as they are not as critical. Still, it is worth understanding the whats and whys to understand better the system’s fragility and its susceptibility to collapse.  Some of the reasons for some shortages are obvious, some not so obvious.  Any way you look at it, though, the fact that we are experiencing more shortages and a higher frequency of shortages is undeniable.  Here are some of the notable shortages last year, this year, and on the horizon. SURGICAL MASKS Obviously, with COVID-19, one of the first shortages to be realized and addressed was Personal Protection Equipment or PPE.  In the early days of COVID, around March of 2020, we were only beginning to understand how SARS-COV-2 was spread.  Once the need for PPE was realized, and the virus rose from a few cases in other countries to a global pandemic, the supply of PPE went from just enough to woefully insufficient.  Manufacturers worldwide were tapped to increase supply.  This is an example of sudden demand outpacing inventory. COINS As businesses shifted their models to more electronic and paperless transactions, in-person transactions decreased during lockdowns. People saved money and spent less, fearing a more significant economic decline, and the actual supply of coinage decreased.  There is an adequate supply of coins in the economy, but the slowed pace of circulation has resulted in reduced quantities where they are needed.  The Mint only adds about 17% of new coins to the market.  Most of the coins are recycled from retail transactions and recirculated.  The impact of COVID-19 resulted in the disruption of the supply chains and circulating supplies of pennies, nickels, dimes, and quarters.  This is an example of how close to the bone supply and distribution models have gotten in the name of greater efficiency. KETCHUP PACKETS Ketchup packets seem like an odd shortage until you contemplate the reasons.  Typically, a percentage of people went through the drive-thru, and the rest dined in the restaurant.  When take-out and drive-thru were the only options because of COVID restrictions, the supply of ketchup packets shriveled up as needs forced demand went up. TOILET PAPER The great toilet paper shortages of 2020 were primarily from people panicking and buying all the available supplies.  Somewhere, someone is sitting on a lifetime supply.  2021, however, brought some new hiccups.  The behemoth Evergreen container ship and the flotilla of backed-up cargo ships trying to transit the Suez Canal also blocked up the wood pulp cargo on its way to paper manufacturers. Significant disruptions to the pulp trade could impact toilet paper supplies if producers don’t have sufficient inventories.  Brazil accounts for about one-third of all the global supply of hardwood pulp.  Toilet paper is typically made to order because it takes up so much room. Storing large quantities is not profitable, so the industry typically has only a few months of inventory on hand.  The vast majority of toilet paper consumed by Americans is made in North America. But about 10 percent of the giant rolls of paper are used to make the rolls that end up in American bathrooms come from China and India.  So, while TP isn’t yet in short supply, the perception that it could be coupled with some supply chain problems could result in dramatic price increases and scarcity.  You might not want to get rid of your lifetime supply of TP just yet. MICROCHIPS As kids went to school online and talked their parents into buying them the PS5, and parents started working from home during the pandemic, the demand for semiconductors and personal computers, and electronics skyrocketed.  Demand for electronics, shifting business models, including outsourcing production, and effects from a trade war resulted in chips being in short supply while demand remains high.  Manufacturers have had to slow production, and this chip shortage affects everything from your laptop to mobile phones to appliances to the car you want to buy.  Expect demand and prices to remain high while supply and production output remains low.  This is an example of economies shifting priorities. LUMBER COVID-snarled supply chains and greater demand from consumers have resulted in low inventories and astronomical prices for lumber.  The cost of plywood is up an incredible 250% in just a year, and the kink in the system doesn’t look to be resolving itself anytime soon.  When a sheet of plywood hovers at a cost just below $100, the cost of construction and housing go up to balance out the equation.  Those costs, of course, get passed on to you–the consumer. BICYCLES Early in the pandemic, people found themselves without a gym and spending more time at home.  They dusted off old bicycles or purchased new ones to not lose their minds indoors from cabin fever.  The supply quickly disappeared, and new bikes soared in price over 120%.  Bicycle repair shops servicing old bikes experienced a backlog of repairs.  The supply disruption still hasn’t found an equilibrium. ALUMINUM CANS & GLASS JARS As beverage consumption moved away from restaurant kegs and fountain drinks to home consumption, the current supplies of canned goods quickly shrank.  Raw materials in transit have also slowed, though production has ramped up.  Also, the number of people cooking and trying recipes during the pandemic has increased and led to a surge in canning.  Jar sales went up 600%, and supplies disappeared. Here, too, manufacturing had to shift priorities and ramp up production at a time when the shipment of raw materials was also challenging.  A seemingly insignificant consequence of this shortage was that Burger King had to delay the rollout of one of its sandwiches because they couldn’t get the jars for the pickles they needed for the sandwich.  No big deal, right?  I point it out here, though, because I think it’s essential to understand how one shortage can ripple out across an economy and affect multiple other products. SHIPPING CONTAINERS Products are shipped from manufacturers to distributors in shipping containers.  90% of goods worldwide are shipped in those big metal boxes on cargo ships, trains, and trucks.  That’s great, but what about that shipping container– the big steel wrapper all that product arrived at your country inside of?  Somehow that has to get back to the manufacturing country to be reused. Still, it isn’t exactly profitable to ship empty containers, and there aren’t many products going the other direction.  When the Evergreen container ship was stuck in the Suez Canal, manufacturers in many countries had to halt production because they didn’t have containers in which to ship their products. CHICKEN WINGS & NUGGETS Americans turned to comfort food to stave off the big bummer of being locked down.  This brought America’s cold storage stock of chicken wings to its lowest point in over a decade.  Chicken nuggets are mainly made in China, and the flow of meat from that country hasn’t exactly been smooth sailing.  A continuing trade war has compounded this.  The whole meat distribution system is truly a little odd.  We may produce the meat in the U.S., ship it to China for processing, then back to consumers here.  That’s far from the farm-to-table model.  You can see this problem when you pick up meat from your grocery store meat department.  Have you noticed the label that says your steak was processed either in Canada, Mexico, or the United States?  To me, that’s rather scary that they can’t tell me the source of one steak.

    CRITICAL SHORTAGES

    While many of those shortages we can work around, some may dramatically affect us–from higher prices to critical needs.  The disruption of raw materials like aluminum, glass, wood pulp and rare metals will cause disruptions in the manufacturing and inventory of cars, boats, planes, computers, smartphones, appliances, small electronics, and so much more.  When supply is sparse, prices go up.  Economies already struggling to regain their footing after a dramatic downturn in 2020 will experience an even more significant slowdown as consumers clutch their purses and hope for certainty to be restored and prices to drop. The scariest potential shortage on the horizon is medicine, though.  Many manufacturers have heavily retooled R&D and production to accommodate millions upon millions of doses of COVID vaccine.  To do this, they have pulled resources–both people and the means of production–from other areas.  Add to this that 80% of the world’s APIs, or Active Pharmaceutical Ingredients come from China, and there is another layer to the potential problem.  APIs are the raw materials for drugs– the raw ingredients in their purest form.  The majority of those APIs are sent to India.  That country manufactures almost 50% of America’s generic drugs.  If you have been following the news in India lately, they are reporting nearly 300,000 new cases of COVID per day.  Yes, that’s per day new cases.  At least one strain has shown to have two significant mutations.  India has almost 18% of the world’s population, a staggering 1.37 billion people.  If the medical crisis in that country continues, borders will close, manufacturing will slow or stop, and overnight 50% of America’s generic drug supply will cease to flow. A generic drug is a medication created to be the same as an already marketed brand-name drug in dosage form, safety, strength, route of administration, quality, performance characteristics, and intended use.  It’s not just Ibuprofen and athlete’s foot cream.  Generic drugs are most of the products you see at your drug store, both over the counter and behind the counter.  Almost 50% of all Americans used at least one prescription drug in the last 30 days, and nearly 100% used an over-the-counter medicine or topical medication during that same period. Almost 7 in 10 Americans take prescription medicines.  If you do, you have probably already seen the prices rise.  Brace yourself because the costs could get much, much higher as problems persist all the way through the raw material, manufacturing, and distribution supply lines. So, critical shortages might not just be a headache from the high prices for everything. They may result in a shortage of the medicine you need to relieve the headache.

    WHAT CAN YOU DO NOW?

    If you were going to purchase electronic equipment, appliances, a car, or a house, you might want to do that sooner than later.  Prices will go up considerably if supply continues to remain low and distribution continues to be hampered.  Also, take a look at any critical prescribed medications or over-the-counter medicines that you take.  Press your doctor for a backup supply of prescription medicines, given the global uncertainty and growing problems.  Go through your prepping supplies and make sure all your meds are up-to-date and well-stocked.  The medicine crisis is still in its infancy, but it could easily be the most significant global shortage of this year and next.  It could be substantial enough to make the history books. If you have the ability and environment, you may also want to research and explore herbal remedies.  While these may not be as effective as manufactured drugs because of their potency, nature has provided a cornucopia of natural remedies that grow all around us.  In a grid-down situation, you will be glad you know a few treatments for common ailments that don’t require manufactured medicines. Finally, with each shortage you hear, take the time to determine what other effects it will have on other systems, products, and services.  Stay ahead of the shortages and make sure your prepping inventory has what it needs to get you through any short-term disruptions.  Conclusion The shortages we face now and in the immediate future are compounded exponentially by inflation and the shrinking dollar.  You will want to see my other videos and blogs on that.  If you take anything away from this, let it be that shortages are occurring with greater frequency.  Let your takeaway be the understanding that some of the critical areas of the world where we derive our raw materials and generic manufacturing continue to have troubles in their future.  Let your takeaway be the understanding that something as seemingly insignificant as a stuck ship can have immediate and lasting disastrous effects on global production and distribution.  Let your takeaway be the realization that you would be prudent to stay ahead of shortages and understand both their compounding and rippling effects. What do you think? I can’t cover all the shortages in just one video.  Have you realized a shortage of something recently? What do you think the next shortage will be?  Tell us in the comments below.  I read many of the comments and respond to many of them when I am able to.  If you found this video informative and helpful, please click that thumbs up icon. It’s a little thing, but it helps us build our prepping community.  I can notify you when other videos become available if you subscribe to this channel.   As always, please stay safe out there.
  • Marti’s Corner – 14

    Marti’s Corner – 14

    Marti's Corner at City PreppingHi Everyone,

    NOTES:

    * I’ve been reviewing the content on the FaceBook page called Murrieta Stake Emergency Preparedness & Friends. There is so much amazing information here. The site has been archived, so you cannot post anything new, but EVERYTHING you ever wanted to know you can find here.
    * Most of the videos of old stake classes are located on the Facebook site: Our Prepared Community.
    * The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-Day Saints in Murrieta is trying to combine all this good information on its new website: ComeUntoChristMurrieta.com
    They have a wonderful team of tech specialists (i.e., young people) who gather information and work hard to make this site a place for answers and inspiration.

    LONG TERM FOCUS: Eggs

    eggs-in-a-basket
    eggs-in-a-basket

    Although I posted this just a few weeks ago, I thought I’d share again. You CAN dehydrate your own eggs. Rather than pay over $4 per dozen for dehydrated eggs that you buy, you can do it much cheaper at home. This video shows you how: Dehydrating Eggs The Big Family Homestead Way
    Dehydrating your own eggs can save you money if you get the eggs on sale (it’s all about getting stuff on sale). You can take these eggs camping and rehydrate for great omelets or scrambled eggs.

    I wouldn’t mind having chickens – my daughter has chickens – but I think that’s pushing it for Craig. So, I’ll buy eggs on sale and preserve them. Remember to look for about 10 cents an egg. At that price, it would be worth the work.

    72-HOUR KIT FOCUS: Toiletries

    5-Things-You-Should-Do-Now-To-Get-Ready-For-What’s-Next

    I’ve only used my 72-hour kit three times that I can remember. Once, we were in San Diego, and Craig had a really bad headache. I remembered that I had Tylenol in the kit. Another time was when we were shooting, and I had burn cream to put on that young boy’s neck when he was grazed by a small piece of shrapnel? or something? The third time was when I went to babysit grandchildren overnight. I got all the way to my daughter’s house and realized I’d forgotten my toothbrush. Of course, I could have just gone to CVS and bought another one, but I remembered I had one in my kit.

    Sometimes the dentist will give out these little kits with a toothbrush, toothpaste, and dental floss in a small zip lock bag. OR, I think I bought mine at Walmart when I walked past them once. It was about $1? maybe less? They are the perfect thing to tuck into a pocket of your backpack. If you don’t want to spend money on a new toothbrush (they have them at the Dollar Store), just put in an old one when you get ready to replace it. Add a travel-size tube of toothpaste, and you’re good to go.

    MISC FOCUS: Hair

    Woman in shower

    If you have a bucket in the garage marked “toiletries,” you should add a brush, comb, and an entire package of hair elastics. Especially if you are unable to wash your hair, you will want to put it up and out of your face.

    My granddaughter has been out of school for about a week with head lice. I remember how mortified I was when MY daughter had lice. Ugh. You can see how this could be a problem in conditions where you cannot clean up every day. (Even so, you can still have lice with clean hair.) So, I also have some Nix– Nix Ultra® Super Lice Treatment or some product like it. You need to be able to kill the lice and the eggs (called nits). Otherwise, the eggs will hatch, and you’ll be battling it all over again.

    FOOD STORAGE RECIPES

    No-Flour Peanut Butter Cookies

    1 c. peanut butter
    1 c. sugar
    1 egg (2 TB dehydrated eggs + 1/4 c. water)
    Bake 350 degrees for 8 minutes

    Fudge-Filled Cookies
    Use the same recipe. Chill and roll into 1 inch balls. Put in greased mini muffin tin. Bake. While still warm, make an indentation in the center. Cool 5 minutes and remove from pan.
    Melt 11 oz chocolate chips, 1 can sweetened condensed milk, and 1 1/2 tsp vanilla. Fill the cookies.

    Basic Cream Pie

    2 1/2 c. milk
    Heat the milk in a saucepan on medium-high, stirring.
    2/3 c. sugar
    1/4 tsp salt
    1/4 c. cornstarch OR 1/2 c. flour
    In a separate bowl, mix the sugar, salt, and cornstarch, then whisk in
    5 large egg yolks OR 2 whole eggs (1/4 c. dehydrated eggs and 1/2 c. water)
    When milk simmers, slowly whisk some of the hot liquid into the egg mixture. This is called tempering the eggs. What this does, is it raises the temperature of the eggs without cooking them. Stir this egg mixture back into the pan. Cook and stir until thickened 1-2 minutes. Stir in
    1 1/2 tsp vanilla
    2 TB butter
    When melted and mixed, pour into a baked and cooled crust. Cover. Chill for at least 3 hours. For a firmer filling, use an extra TB cornstarch or an extra egg.

    Slightly different recipes here, but he shows you how to do it. The BEST Vanilla Cream Pie Recipe  (I may have watched a bunch of his videos.)

    Top with meringue stabilized whipped cream or a fruit filling. Stabilized whipped cream uses powdered sugar instead of granulated sugar. The powdered sugar has cornstarch which helps keep the cream stiff.

    Banana Cream Pie: slice 2-3 bananas onto cruse before pouring on the filling. Really good with caramel drizzled on top.

    Chocolate Cream: Add 1/4 – 1/2 c. cocoa powder and an extra 2-4 TB sugar, OR 1-4 squares unsweetened chocolate, OR 1/4 – 1 c. semisweet chocolate chips. Stir till melted.

    German Pancakes

    3 TB butter, melted
    Put butter in an 8 in a pie plate or an 8 X 8 baking dish, tipping to coat.
    3 eggs (whisk until light) (6 TB dehydrated eggs, 3/4 c. water)
    1 c. milk – mix in
    Mix together
    1 c. flour and 1/2 tsp salt
    Add the flour a little at a time into the eggs. (A blender works well for this)
    Pour into pan and bake about 20 minutes at 450 degrees, until edges are deep golden brown and puffed up.

    Marti

  • When the Unprepared Come to Your Door: What to Do

    When the Unprepared Come to Your Door: What to Do

    It is an absolute certainty that when a disaster strikes that lasts for any prolonged period, people will show up at your door if you are stocked or better positioned to survive than they are.  Over the years, I have read numerous comments about what people would do.  The majority of preppers take a rigid approach to what they view as potential looters.  Instead of just dismissing them, they’re prepared to expel them from their property through force.  Then, you have the opposite end of the spectrum where some preppers set aside small care packages or backpacks to hand out to people who would come knocking so they can be sent on their way with a little bit better chance to survive.  Both approaches are problematic, and there is much in between those two extremes.  A desperate enough person might try to burn you out to get to your resources, even though that could destroy the resources in the process.  And a person who receives a hand-out or hand-up because of your generosity may come around again or tell others which will potentially result in a line outside your door. In this blog, we will look at those people who would show up at your door and what you can do to both protect yourself and help them.  It’s a difficult decision for sure.  It is one thing to ignore a stranger or maybe even an acquaintance.  It is quite another to turn away a neighbor, friend, or even a family member when your own resources are limited, well-prepared in advance, and you are staring down the barrel of a disaster that may stretch on for an indeterminable amount of time.  Of course, observing OPSEC and not telling others about your preps, to begin with, is critical in reducing the number of potential people that may show up at your door, but the reality is that most will not be prepared despite how much you warn them.  Still, there are things you can do now to prepare in advance for when they show up.  In this video, we will look at what you can do now to leverage what you know will happen, people showing up at your door, to be a better prepper and increase your odds of long-term survival.   The Dilemma If you don’t know the story of the Little Red Hen, it is an old English tale about a red hen who finds some wheat seeds one day in the barnyard.  She asks other barnyard animals to help her plant them, later thresh the wheat, grind them to flour, and finally bake them into bread.  The three animals she asks, the type of which varies by the telling of the story but usually a sleepy cat, greedy pig, and lazy dog or rat, all refuse to help her.  She has to learn the skills of growing the wheat, grinding it to flour, and baking all while managing her chicks.  She asks the animals to help her at every step along the way, but they refuse.  When she asks her final question, “Who will help me eat the bread?”  Of course, all those lazy barnyard animals are the first in line to volunteer.  Her response is basically, “Nope.  I’ll eat it, and my chicks will eat it.”  And, she sends the freeloading lazy and greedy barnyard animals on their way.  It’s a quaint little allegory about using resources, learning, hard work, and perseverance and not allowing yourself to be taken advantage of by others. There are some clear parallels to the prepping community too.  You have probably heard a friend or family member or two joke, “I’ll be going to your house when the crap hits the fan.”  It’s partly said as a joke to avoid and deflect away from the uncomfortable conversation of a person’s lack of preparedness or potential future disasters. Still, it is also a feeler to gauge your openness to them showing up when it all goes down.  Many just don’t know how to prep or won’t prep, but they also want to see if you’re going to do all the work for them.  In both respects, it is the person’s unwillingness to do the work–their unwillingness to plant the seeds, harvest the crop, make the flour, and learn to bake the bread. It is a serious dilemma because most people aren’t so sadistic as to turn away a friend or loved one who will, for a fact, die if they don’t receive food, water, or medicine.  It is first in our nature to survive.  The act of self-preservation overrides all other impulses and actions.  Yet, it’s probably second in our human nature to want to help people, especially those we care about. It’s not too difficult to imagine the dilemma and the decisions you would have to make if, after a disaster, people show up at your door.  Yet, there is a sort of framework we can look at to determine what you should do when this inevitable situation arises.  First, let’s look at the criteria for assessing what you need to make your decision, then I’ll explain ways you can cultivate a better outcome for yourself and even strengthen your own prepping community in the process. Criteria 1: The Disaster Disasters can be loosely categorized by their affected zone, intensity, and aftermath.  If a tornado, for instance, rips through your neighboring town and knocks out your power, you can determine the impact that might have on your community’s first responders, power grid, and other services.  As it was a localized destructive event, you can reasonably assume that your shelter was spared and that it isn’t likely to happen in another hour, day, or week.  It could, but it isn’t expected.  So, based on this localized destructive disaster, do you sit on your resources?  Do you hoard them when your neighbor in the next town over is suffering, or do you loan him your tent and a few supplies? If the destructive zone of the disaster is much greater, like a hurricane, you might have to now factor in those moving through your area fleeing the destructive zone.  If you are in that destructive zone and it is extensive, you have to factor in that most of the population will be desperate for the essentials in life.  From an OPSEC, (which is short for operational security) standpoint, you probably don’t want strangers knowing you’re sitting on a supply of drinkable water and edible food. So, whenever a disaster strikes, consider the extent of the destruction and the projected recovery through the aftermath.  If you were to arrange disasters loosely based upon their impact on your community and their projected recovery phase, it would probably go from smallest to largest, something like tornadoes, hurricanes, floods, wildfires, earthquakes greater than 7.0, pandemics, economic collapse, and to civil unrest and civil war.  I know I left many disasters off that shortlist, but the point is that any disaster can be categorized by its affected zone, intensity, and aftermath.  If you feel that it’s more of a minor disaster that will pass, you would want to try and help people however you can.  Your supplies are replenishable, but human life, once gone, is gone forever.  Whomever you support, if it is someone you know, you will want to circle back with them when peace is restored to discuss preparing for the next disaster and other disasters; though, I will discuss that later in this video.  Bring them along on your shopping run when you replenish your supplies.  Have the prepping discussion with them. Criteria 2: The Duration Just as you assess the disaster’s affected zone, intensity, and aftermath, you should also evaluate the disaster’s duration.  An 8.0 earthquake will have aftershocks that could be 7.0 or higher.  Each earthquake series lessens in intensity over time.  If a hurricane strikes, but you can see from the weather maps that a second and more intense hurricane is approaching, you may not want to be opening your doors.   If civil unrest is growing from a city’s epicenter and moving out towards your direction or getting random in pockets all over the place, it doesn’t make sense to risk revealing your preps. Every disaster has a duration, and you have to factor that into your decision to help or turn away people.  You can never know with absolute certainty the duration of a disaster. Still, you can hypothetically conclude the duration based upon the information you can gather and historical references.  If there doesn’t seem to be a cascading effect, one system collapsing is contained and not causing spillover into other systems, the corrections may be swift, and the recovery time may be short.  You may want to reach out to people in your circle and family to see if there is anything you can supply them with.  Suppose the disaster has caused the power to go out, and that caused the municipal water supply to stop pumping or the sewage to back up, or the nuclear power plant isn’t able to scram their reactors, or looting and rioting have started. In that case, you can deduce that the disaster could worsen, and the duration could lengthen.  It isn’t the time to help people outside of your circle of family and friends.  You may have to wait on them, as well, until a safer time in the future. Criteria 3: The Person One of the essential criteria for helping people during or after a disaster is the person themselves.  There’s a pretty clearly defined order to the people.  If you imagine a circle with you in the center, each layer out in order would be your family, friends, then neighbors, acquaintances, strangers, then outsiders, and foreigners.  I would never turn away family, but I probably wouldn’t have a problem telling an acquaintance to pound sand if the extent of the disaster and duration were great.  Even then, though, I’d probably send them off with a little care package to increase their odds of survival.  That’s just me, though.  Right or wrong and family aside, we are more inclined to care for a friend or neighbor than we are that person in the next town or country over.  If civil unrest is flaring up and growing in intensity and breadth of area, I am likely to call my buddy who may be near the region or in the region to see if they need anything like food or ammo.  I might also advise them to top off their water supply or give them other advice.  I can assure you, though, I wouldn’t be calling some random person in the area and checking up on them.   When they come to your door, however, it might be a different story.  Like the Little Red Hen, have I had a prepping discussion with them before?  Did they dismiss me then?  Usually, when someone jokes that they’ll come to my house after the crap hits the fan, I shoot back, “What are you bringing with you?”  That’s a springboard to get the conversation rolling about what they can do today to bring value to the table.  If a friend shows up at my bug out location with nothing, but they had the opportunity along the route and over time to pick up several things, I will view them differently than the friend who shows up with a well-stocked bug out vehicle.  Disasters can rob us of even the most thoughtfully planned out preps.  That’s what makes them disasters, but there are other intangibles.  What skills does the person bring with them?  I would be more inclined to bring in to my MAG, or mutual assistance group, a medical professional, gardener, or someone skilled at hunting, fishing, or another applicable craft before I would want to take on the burden of someone with zero skills and no practical experience being self-sufficient. Does the person bring something you can use that they’re willing to trade?  As mercenary as that may sound on the surface, trade is an essential aspect of a community and self-preservation.  I can give you food, but maybe you have something I can use later in the disaster.  If the recovery is sure to happen, I would be happy to lend you some items I have, but maybe there is something later on you can provide me.  For instance, I may loan you my tent, but I might circle back when this is all over and ask you if I can harvest your fruit tree.  The payback and return on your investment don’t have to be immediately sought nor conceived.  I can do this thing for you now, but I will circle back with you in the future and may ask for something or a little help by way of payback.  If you think hard enough, there is someone in your past who did you a solid favor that you would now still drop everything and help if they asked you to because when you needed them, they were there for you.  That’s the way human interaction works.  I will help you.  You help me maybe further down the road.  The paybacks we don’t get we throw to the universe and call karma. So, your evaluation of helping can be factored by the person who has shown up at your doorstep and their relation to you. The conditions can also factor it. Criteria 4: The Conditions Just as you assess the breadth and length of a disaster and the person at your doorstep, you have to also consider the conditions.  That’s a broad term.  When you evaluate the disaster and the person you are considering, the first definition of the word “condition” is “the state of something with regard to its appearance, quality, or working order.”  Here we are looking at the second listed definition of conditions: “the circumstances affecting the way in which people live or work, especially with regard to their safety or well-being.”  The fact is that desperation can come to anyone after a disaster.  Can you do absolutely nothing when the mother with a small child lay bleeding and injured at your doorstep?  That’s not a choice I would want to make, but I can assure you I will assess the conditions of that mother and child’s chances of survival, and I will do what I can without surrendering my and my family’s chances of survival. If the storm and strife and fires rage on the outside, and I am the only hope for a desperate person, I will likely take them in at some extent, but with the first of conditions.  They need to know that it is only temporary until the chaos has passed enough for them to be safe enough to leave.  That being said, the example was an injured mother and child.  If the person at my door were just a random person that I can surmise nothing about, I likely wouldn’t respond in any way or tell them to move along.  Much would depend on the disaster’s conditions or the person’s general odds of survivability as I see it. This is where I hear many in our prepping community who have small care packages, printed maps with natural resources marked, old backpacks stuffed with a few essentials that can be given out to those you don’t want parking on your doorstep but you simply cannot take into your safe location.  You have to let your heart and conscience be the lead when evaluating the conditions, whereas your assessment of the disaster, duration, and person is somewhat logical.  When you make decisions of the heart, it isn’t always certain to be the right decision.  The wolf in sheep’s clothing is an ageless archetype because it is true.  You may help someone, and they come back for more, or they bring back friends for all that you have.   So the nature of the disaster, the duration of the disaster and the duration of the recovery phase, the person, and the conditions of the environment, and the condition or the likelihood of the person’s survival are all factors.  There are, as you can imagine, caveats to all those criteria.  The most important, perhaps, is your OPSEC.  After all, your survival is the reason you started prepping, to begin with. Staying Safe: OPSEC Your survival is your first priority.  You have meticulously and prudently planned for the predicament everyone finds themself in at that moment.  You have to maintain your safety through the disaster.  You have to ensure your supplies and preps will last you through the entire disaster phase and well into a full recovery.  There are specific rules to follow to increase your OPSEC. First, never reveal the extent of your preps to anyone.  They may know that you have some water or some food set aside.  They may know you have a small arsenal or that you are a prolific canner or active dehydrator.  They may know you have great camping supplies or a generator or two, but they should never really know the full extent of your preps. Second, never miss an opportunity to discuss prepping or the skills of self-sufficiency.  As I said when your friend jokes about showing up at your door, shoot back, “What will you be bringing with you?”  Start that conversation, so they know first to bring something, and second to be responsible now for their future.  You can take that a step forward and send them a link to a 72-hour kit.  Maybe you offer to send them a list of what they need to get started on their garden.  Maybe you print out a real-life story of survival and broach the conversation with them later.  That person who is bringing it up and joking about showing up may actually be reaching out to you for a bit of help and understanding.  When you increase your community’s preparedness and circle of friends and family, you exponentially increase the likelihood of your own survival. Third, be prepared to defend what is yours.  Whatever weapon of choice you make, you need to be able to protect what is yours if the ship never fully gets righted.  If the disaster continues with no end in sight, you will see humanity fade.  You will become a resource to be harvested and not the kind person that you are simply struggling to survive.  Yes, that person who has already left that extreme statement in the comments of this video, even before they have watched the whole thing, about how they will repel people from their door is right in a way.  If a disaster stretches on with no end in sight, the fact is that you may not be able to help anyone.  Either way, though, realize that the use of force can result in reciprocal use of force.  You may have a better defensible position, but you will be limited to the resources you have contained within your location.  Someone on the outside may have access to gasoline and might decide to burn you out with Molotov cocktails.  Yes, they risk destroying everything, but they only think of grabbing what they can and getting safely away. Realize that what that person on the outside thinks you might have to defend yourself is just as much of a deterrent as what you actually have.  If they think you might have a weapon or twenty weapons they will have second thoughts, though you might actually have no weapons or no ammo at all.  The car that has the light that might indicate an alarm gets passed over for the car that clearly doesn’t have an alarm.  The house with the security system and the CCTV domes gets passed over for the home that clearly has no eyes on the outside.  The house with known valuables but likely defended will get passed over for the house with an open window.  The property with the barking dog running in the fenced-in yard will probably be passed over for the house with no fence, no dog, and an AARP sticker on the late model car.  The reality is that nefarious people are also concerned about their own chances of survival.  They are more inclined to prey upon the weak and indefensible than the strong or the possibly strong. Fourth, plan for people to show up at your door or to seek your help.  As a prepper, you have been hard-focused on securing the resources you need to sustain yourself and your family through whatever life throws your way.  If you are a prepper, you’re probably preparing for yourself and your household, and by opening the door to help others, your supply will be quickly diminished. You run the risk that they’ll tell others which will only form a line outside your door, or people, when they reach a point of desperation, will take from you.   Just as you plan for yourself, you have to have some kind of plan in place for others.  They will show up.  Maybe that means portioning out small packets of rice and beans.  Maybe that means having some basic kits on hand. Perhaps that means getting an inhaler for your cousin who you know will show up at your door, and you know they will not have that essential item with them. Whatever it means to you, it should mean planning for those you know, despite all that you do and all the discussions you have, will not prepare for the disaster on the horizon.  Doing so in even a small way will make your decision easier when they do show up at your doorstep.  The Little Red Hen had no problem keeping the bread for herself and her chicks because she offered to let the animals help at multiple points along the way.  So, keep your actual level of preparedness a secret, but do engage those around you in the prepping discussions.  Give them on their birthday a prepping tool or 72-hour emergency kit.  They might chuckle or make a comment about you, but you will know that they will have what they need to get them through a little while, and it might be enough to keep them from marching to your door.  Conclusion Despite our best efforts, any disaster that lasts into weeks or months is likely to bring people to our door.  At some point, you may have to make the hard decision that balances your family’s survival with compassion and your humanity.  Some will be seeking aid.  Some will be looking to take from you what they need with no regard to you.  Prepping for this inevitable reality is as important as prepping your regular supplies and food and water storage.  Consider the disaster’s destruction and area.  Consider its potential duration and cascading effect.  Consider the person showing up at your door.  After all, can you humanely turn away your kind and loving auntie, who needs to plug her respirator into your generator to survive through the day?  Finally, stay safe by maintaining your OPSEC, opening a dialogue with people long before disasters occur, preparing to defend yourself, and planning for those you know will show up and will not have planned for themselves.  It’s not easy to turn your back on another human being, though sometimes that may be your only choice if your self-preservation is at risk. What do you think?  What is your plan to deal with those who would show up at your door or on your land after a disaster?  Have you ever been that person in need of relief after a disaster?  Who do you know for sure in your life who will be the first in line at your door?  We all know someone.  As always, please stay safe out there.
  • Get Ready for the Big One

    Get Ready for the Big One

    “It takes an earthquake to remind us that we walk on the crust of an unfinished planet.”  -Charles Kuralt If you have ever been in an earthquake, you know that they are not all like what you see portrayed in the movies.  I live in Southern California and the potential of the big one happening in my lifetime is one of the main reasons I began to take emergency preparedness, a.k.a. prepping so seriously.  I’ve lived through enough small ones while living here and it’s a threat that constantly hangs over your head living in this region.  The ones I have experienced are localized events that typically last about ten to thirty seconds, but don’t have to be “the Big One” for water, electricity, and gas systems to have failures, so it is essential to prepare for even the low rumblers.  A magnitude nine earthquake can last for five minutes or longer and could leave few if any buildings or bridges still standing. The people who prepare for an earthquake are usually just the people who live in a zone where earthquakes are frequent, but it would be wise to prepare even in zones where earthquakes are infrequent, but fault lines are within the region.  If the big one doesn’t occur, though you will see after this video we are long overdue in some areas, you should have an emergency supply kit to adapt to other natural disasters readily. This blog will cover what an earthquake is and why it is so damaging, the major U.S. faults and seismic zones, and the unknown fault zone humans are activating.  In the second video of this two-part video series, I will provide you with just the straightforward basics of what you should put in your earthquake kit. So let’s jump in. What is an Earthquake and Why Prepare First, here’s a brief lesson on what an earthquake is, so we can go into this fully understanding what we are up against.    An earthquake is defined as “a sudden and violent shaking of the ground, sometimes causing great destruction, as a result of movements within the earth’s crust or volcanic action. ”  Basically, where two large volumes of land or rock meet each other, a fracture zone occurs.  This is referred to as a fault line.  Faults allow the two large blocks of rock to move relative to each other.  Sometimes this movement is in very small and unnoticed smooth sliding.  Sometimes they stick or hang up a bit for a period, build pressure, and then release in a more significant movement as the rock on one side of the fault suddenly slips with respect to the other.  The resulting dramatic movement of even a few inches or feet can result in an earthquake. To understand the type of shake, fault lines are classified.  There are many types of faults classified by the movement of the blocks of rock, up, down, left, or right, relative to each other.  The specific tectonic process at work with each of the areas I will cover in this video I will address as I define them.  The final thing you need to know about earthquakes concerning their classification is their magnitude.  Earthquakes are measured by magnitude and intensity.  Intensity is a measure of the overall shaking and damage and can vary by location based upon the land’s makeup.  The other well-known measurement is the magnitude.  This was measured using the Richter scale from one to nine.  The Richter Scale only measured the most significant amplitude of a quake, so seismologists have replaced it with the Moment Magnitude Scale, which measures different parts of the earthquake.  I t’s based on the Modified Mercalli Intensity scale and lists quakes on a scale of 1 to 12.  The Moment Magnitude scale measures the body wave magnitude and surface wave magnitudes and the Richter magnitude at the localized level and then presents a more comprehensive number that defines the wave’s magnitude.  There’s a lot that goes into that, so it can be better understood by understanding the numbers one through nine on the Richter scale and the extent of damage that can occur from each of them from the Mercalli scale. Throughout the world, it is estimated that a half-million earthquakes occur per year.  The Earth is constantly shifting, but most of these movements go undetected because their magnitude is low or it occurs in remote places.  When it comes to low magnitude, a magnitude one quake, you probably wouldn’t feel anything even if you were sitting still in a stable environment. The Richter scale goes from one to nine and, not to oversimplify it, but each level is about ten times greater than the level before and has about thirty-three times the amount of energy being released.  If you get to nine on the scale, the equivalent energy released is comparable to 20 trillion tons of TNT.  The bomb dropped on Hiroshima was between 13 and 15 kilotons, so a nine on the scale is almost inconceivably larger than that historic blast.  When you consider there are a thousand thousands in a million, and there are a thousand millions in a billion, and a thousand billions in a trillion, then multiply the whole thing by twenty, and, well…let’  s just say that the Earth is a pretty powerful ball of built-up, kinetic energy.  Be thankful that those minor quakes occur, so a big one is less likely. A Word About Destruction But what of the destruction at each level?  The Modified Mercalli Intensity scale defines this well.  It correlates to the Richter scale but measures the intensity and resultant aftermath.  It has twelve levels.  At levels one and two, it isn’t felt except under the most optimal conditions.  Level three may be felt by a few people not engaged in movement and on the upper floors of buildings.  Level four is light and can be felt by many indoors.  Dishes may rattle. It may sound like a truck driving by or striking a building.  Lev–el five and above is felt by everyone in the area.  At level five, some damage to dishes, objects, and windows may occur.  Level six, defined as strong, can actually move heavy furniture and will cause slight damage.   At level seven, poorly constructed or older buildings will start to see some damage.  Level eight and that damage is severe.  Only earthquake-reinforced structures will likely sustain no damage.  Level nine is severe.  Chimneys and factory stacks will fall, and some buildings will collapse.  Level ten is extreme; some well-built wooden structures will be destroyed; most masonry and frame structures will be destroyed with their foundations. Gas lines without automatic seismic shutoff valves installed are likely to break. Levels ten, eleven, and twelve are all categorized as extreme.  They’re equivalent to a long earthquake at an eight or nine on the Richter scale.  At level eleven, broad fissures can open up on the ground, maybe not as extreme as you see in the movies where they’re gobbling people up but still capable of causing radical damage.  At level twelve, equivalent to a nine or above, and nothing is left undamaged or possibly even standing.  Destruction is total.  Every municipal system–water, electricity, gas, sewer, communication, transit, and so on–will sustain damage, interruptions, and possibly systemic failure for an indeterminable length of time.  The seismic force waves can be seen traveling across the landscape across the surface, and objects are thrown into the air. Fortunately, those massive, once-in-a-lifetime quakes are a rarity. Besides the shaking, an earthquake can cause soil liquefaction, landslides, fires, ground ruptures, floods, and tsunamis with dramatic and devastating effects thousands of miles from the epicenter.  You may not live in a tsunami zone, but you can imagine how dangerous it could be to you if a gas line is fractured and the roads and bridges are impassable. Is your plan for any disaster to bug in and stand your ground?  If you are adequately prepared, that might work in most disasters.  It may not, though, in the aftermath of an earthquake.  If your home and all your neighbors’ homes are just piles of rubble on top of a concrete foundation, you may need to leave the area for personal safety and return when fires are out, and water, gas, and electrical lines are repaired or shut off. Whose Fault Line Is It? So, you must prepare for any known fault line you are in proximity to or living above or near.  You should also prepare if you are within a few hundred miles of one of these zones.  An extreme quake on one of these known fault lines could result in damage and destruction hundreds of miles away.   A giant earthquake on Missouri’s New Madrid fault, for instance, could be felt as far away as the East coast, so it is in your best interest to be prepared for the big one.  Here is the quick list of known faults and seismic zones that could have the most significant potential for a sizable earthquake in our lifetimes.

    1 – San Andreas Fault

    The San Andreas fault is well known because it has consistently produced greater than magnitude 6.0 quakes in 1857, 1881, 1901, 1922, 1934, 1996, and 2004.  It and runs the length of California.  There are hundreds of other faults that feed into the San Andreas or bump out of San Andreas. Some of those other faults may actually be more likely to generate a big one.  This is a tectonic boundary between the Pacific Plate and the North American Plate, a right-lateral strike-slip or horizontal motioned fault. According to the research done by the scientific community, the San Andreas is way overdue for a big one.  Living in Southern California, it’s a shadow that hangs over us constantly.

    2- Cascadia Subduction Zone

    The Cascadia Subduction Zone starts off Mendocino, California, and runs off the coast of northern California, Oregon, and Washington to the north end of Vancouver Island, Canada.  Being way out there in the Pacific might make you feel safe.  You will have a false sense of security if you do feel safe.  Here, instead of moving sideways, the North American plate is sliding over the top of the Pacific Plate.  The Pacific Plate is being forced under the North American Plate and turned eventually into magma while pushing up the Olympic Mountains and the Cascades.  This is a millions of years process that is in continual motion.  So long as that goes smoothly, there’s just an occasional earthquake.  When it gets stuck or hung up and then suddenly corrects, massive earthquakes, tsunamis, and even volcanic activity can occur. When it goes off again, seismologists expect a magnitude nine earthquake to last five minutes or longer.  According to geologists, the quakes come every 250 years on average, but the intervals are highly variable.  Every 250 years or so, a big earthquake of 9.0 is overdue by about 70 years.  Unlike much of California, the Pacific Northwest is not as retrofitted and earthquake-proofed.  A large magnitude earthquake would destroy many buildings and bridges.

    3- The Denali Fault

    It’s easy to forget about Alaska and its earthquakes because they’re so far up North, not connected to the contiguous United States, sparsely populated, and they have several earthquakes every day.  It’s worth mentioning here because it is so active and so violent.  Like with the Cascadia Subduction Zone, the Pacific Plate is actively sliding under the North American Plate.  Magnitude 7, 8, and 9 earthquakes are typical every year along the Aleutian Islands. The Denali Fault, even 2,000 miles or more away from you, is worth watching.

    4- Salt Lake City Wasatch Fault

    The Wasatch f ault is located in central Utah and southeast Idaho, along the Basin and Range Province’s eastern edge. At least 23 magnitude seven quakes have hit these segments over the past 6500 years – an average of a big shakeup every 300 years.  The fault zone is overdue for another 7.0.  Because of the earthquakes’ infrequency, most buildings and bridges, as in the Pacific Northwest, are not hardened against earthquakes. 

    5- New Madrid and Wabash Valley Seismic Zones

    In the United States’ western regions, earthquake fault lines can stretch for hundreds of miles, and many fault lines often feed into or buttress against more prominent fault lines.  However, in the central and eastern United States, faults are clustered together to create seismic zones and are deeper within the Earth.  Though the New Madrid fault is still well known, other seismic zones could release their energy at any time when the conditions are right. Today, a magnitude seven would destroy many bridges and structures. This area’s structures are not designed with modern earthquake-resistant methods like shear walls, cross braces, diaphragms, and moment-resisting frames.  Not much is known about these fault areas because they are deep within the Earth.  What is known is that they aren’t dormant, and they have the potential for a 7.0 or greater at any time that could impact a vast region.

    6- East Tennessee Seismic Zone

    Moving even further East is the East Tennessee Se ismic Zone.  The source of seismic activity in the East Tennessee Seismic Zone is not well known. The zone is located far from the North American continent’s edge and represents a mid-continent or intraplate earthquake zone.  The known faults are generally ancient, and no known active faults reach the surface. While those are not big earthquakes and are not likely to cause dramatic damage, seismologists warn that earthquakes as large as 7.5 are possible.  Also, they seem to be occurring with greater frequency and regularity, which brings us to our final fault zone–the yet undiscovered fault zone.

    7- The Yet Undiscovered Fault Zones

    Unknown fault zones could soon be awakened by man made activity.  This could explain some of the heightened activity in the East Tennessee Seismic Zone.  If you have ever seen up close a fault line deep in the earth, you would see that many are identifiable by the super fine sand that runs along them.  This is because millions of years of slow grinding have created that fine sand.  When we humans engage in fracking by pumping millions of gallons of fluids into the Earth, we may wash that fault line buffer away, which results in some slipping.  Also, when we pull too much from aquifers, we decrease the downward pressure on the plate that is under the aquifer.  This can result in the plate rising ever so slightly and impacting other tectonic movements.   Fracking intentionally causes thousands of small earthquakes of magnitudes smaller than 1 to enhance permeability, but it has also been linked to larger earthquakes. The largest earthquake known to be induced by hydraulic fracturing in the United States was a magnitude four earthquake in Texas.  Each earthquake causes pressure to be released off one line and transferred to another line or another plate.  Reawakening prehistoric fault lines and adding stress to existing ones is probably not the best practice.  Beginning in 2009, Oklahoma experienced a surge in seismicity. This surge was so significant that its rate of magnitude three and larger earthquakes exceeded California’s from 2014 through 2017.  Texas had a 4.0 magnitude earthquake as a result of fracking.  We don’t know what the possible cumulative effect of these human activity generated earthquakes may be.  We know that they occur in areas where the buildings are not hardened off, and the impact of a big earthquake could quickly rise to a catastrophe-level. Conclusion Do you live within 500 miles of one of those zones?  If a magnitude eight or greater earthquake strikes, you can expect massive destruction in areas not hardened off against earthquakes.  Even if you live miles from the epicenter, you can expect services to go offline and possibly even refugees from bordering states.  Having an earthquake kit prepared in your prepping supplies will help you if the big one does hit, and you can use it for a host of other disasters or even bug out with it.  The next blog in this two-part blog series which I’ll link to in the description section and the cards above. Have you ever been in a big earthquake?  Have old members of your family?  If you’re not in the United States, do you have earthquakes in your region?  As always, please stay safe out there.
  • Marti’s Corner – 13

    Marti’s Corner – 13

    Marti's Corner at City PreppingHi Everyone,

    NOTES:

    * I wanted to mention another great organic product for slugs, roly-polies, earwigs, and cutworms – Sluggo Plus. It is safe around pets and wildlife. It is still effective after rain or watering. It breaks down into fertilizer.  Sluggo Plus Wildlife and Pet Safe Slug Killer.
    * Here is some garden info for you: Spring Gardening: April Garden Checklist Zones 9-11 | Kellogg Garden Organics™

    LONG TERM FOCUS: Eggs

    eggs-in-a-basket
    eggs-in-a-basket

    Here are some highlights from THIS article: How to Use Powdered Eggs in Everyday Cooking
    — dried eggs should be rotated every three years, but under optimum conditions can still be good up to 10 years
    — Keep in a cool, dark area
    — Just add water to use in omelets, scrambled eggs. In recipes needing eggs, the dehydrated eggs can be used in powdered form. The eggs can be added dry with the water. No need to mix ahead of time.

    1 TB egg powder + 2 TB water = 1 medium egg
    2 TB egg powder + 1/4 c. water = extra large egg

    Price comparison:
    Auguson Farms whole egg powder $27.49 for 72 servings
    That’s $.38 per egg.

    1 dozen eggs X $.38 = $4.56 Which would be expensive (in my mind) for a dozen eggs. So, dehydrated eggs are NOT cheaper. But, when the store shelves empty out in an emergency, you will be glad to have them.

    The recommended amount for a year is 2 cans per person. Start with one can.  Augason Farms Dried Whole Egg Product 2 lbs 1 oz No. 10 Can.  In 2-3 months, get another one. A few months later, get another one, etc. When you have all your eggs, start to rotate them. Use them when you bake. Maybe add some powdered eggs to a pan of scrambled eggs (mix it in there and no one will know!!!). Really, I tried them one morning and gave them to Craig, and he didn’t know.

    And having just typed this, I realize I should do some rotating of my own.

    SHORT TERM FOCUS: Honey

    Honey has some advantages over sugar. Personally, I think it’s unrealistic to use honey exclusively. Super expensive. Then there is the matter of readjusting all your recipes. And storing honey is NOT as easy as storing sugar. Honey tends to harden (which is totally okay), but it just has to be heated to reliquify. BUT, like I said, there are benefits, so honey makes a good addition to your storage.
    — It is rich in antioxidants, which can help lower blood pressure
    — It less “bad” for you than white sugar
    — It reduces “bad” cholesterol and raises “good” cholesterol
    — It can lower triglycerides
    — It can heal wounds and burns. It is also effective for diabetic foot ulcers. It has antibacterial and anti-inflammatory effects. It can also treat psoriasis and herpes lesions.
    Manuka honey is especially effective for wound care.
    — Honey water can help with coughs
    DO NOT GIVE TO CHILDREN UNDER ONE YEAR OF AGE.

    Here is a good conversion chart for cooking with honey instead of sugar. Sugar to Honey Recipe Conversion Rules — Peachtree Road Farmers Market

    72-HOUR KIT FOCUS: Soap

    prepping-sanitation

    For each of my kits, I took a washrag and cut it in half. (A piece of towel would work as well.) Then I added a small soap (think motel). I put them in a baggie, and in they went. As we know, soap is great for killing bacteria and germs. Being able to wash a wound with soap and water might sting, but it could prevent infection. You could also include a mini shampoo (travel size). Frankly, I think I just have soap and cloth.

    MISC FOCUS: Soap

    As long as you are thinking about soap, think about getting some bars of soap for storage. Bars of soap are easier to store and will last A LOT longer than liquid soap. (not necessarily store for longer, but will take longer to use up). With consistent use, you will probably need a bar or two per month. Check the Dollar Store.

    You might want to get a bucket from Lowes or a storage container with a lid and label it “toiletries). It can stay in the garage. If you haven’t got room under your sink or in a bathroom cabinet, this would be a good place to store your supply.

    FOOD STORAGE RECIPES

    Here is a recipe for garlic-infused honey:

    Honey Fermented Garlic RecipeGarlic is a staple found in just about every home. The foundation of many flavor combinations, garlic has many health benefits. People have been using garlic medicinally since ancient times. It helps boost your immune system and prevent colds, lower cholesterol, and lower blood pressure.  There are many ways to incorporate the healing power of garlic. Try something new, like infusing garlic in honey. The garlic will ferment, adding beneficial probiotics to the mixture. It is great for colds and the flu.

    Honey Fermented Garlic

    Place garlic in a glass jar and cover it with honey.

    Make sure you leave plenty of headspace at the top of the jar to accommodate the additional liquid and bubbles that will be created in the process. This will help prevent explosions of honey in your kitchen.

    Garlic Honey - Flu Virus Fighter

    You want to flip the jar daily to ensure the garlic stays coated in honey. This will help prevent mold from forming.
    After several days you should see bubbles begin to form. This is a sign fermentation has begun. Burp the jar daily to release the gasses. Over time the activity in the jar will decrease, and you can burp less frequently.

    When the bubbling stops, the fermentation is complete. This can take several months, but the end result is worth it.
    For best results, make sure you use organic garlic and raw honey. You can use the garlic for cooking, add the honey to tea, or simply eat it by the spoonful if you like.

    My Favorite Granola

    7 c. oats
    1 c. chopped almonds (I’ve used both slivered and sliced)
    1 c. wheat germ
    1 c. sunflower seeds
    1/2 c. honey
    1/2 c. vegetable oil
    1/4 c. brown sugar
    2 tsp vanilla
    Mix oats, almonds, wheat germ, and seeds in a large bowl.
    Mix honey, oil, sugar, and vanilla in a saucepan. Heat to dissolve and mix, but don’t boil. Add to oats and mix well. Spread on 2 greased cookie sheets. Bake 325 degrees for 20-25 minutes. Stir occasionally. Remove from oven, cool, and add
    1 1/2 c. raisins.
    This makes about 12 cups of granola, which is A LOT for two people, so I usually 1/2 the recipe. It’s pretty versatile. Change the type of nuts or leave them out. Add in something else? Flax seeds, cracked wheat, whatever. Substitute craisins for raisins?

    Half and Half Bread with Honey

    When my kids were little, I used to bake about 8 loaves of bread a week. THIS is the recipe I used. It’s from Daryl Hoole (She was a homemaking guru in the ’70s). I liked it because the first rise is spongy, less kneading.

    This recipe makes 4 loaves, so plan accordingly:

    6 c. water
    2 TB yeast
    2 TB salt
    1/2 c. honey or brown sugar
    1/2 c. oil
    6 c. whole wheat flour
    Mix together. I usually like to proof my yeast first by dissolving it in some of the water, adding a little of the sugar, and letting it start to work. But you don’t have to do that.
    It will NOT be a firm dough. It will be spongy. This allows the whole wheat to soak up the liquid better. Just cover with plastic wrap and let it rise. It will just about fill the entire bowl when done. Then instead of “punching” down, you just stir it down.
    Add
    6 cups white flour.

    Now it will form a dough that you can knead for a few minutes to get smooth. Form into four loaves. Place in greased pans. Let rise. Bake 350 degrees for 30-40 minutes. I usually look for the loaves’ tops to be brown, and the bread is pulling away from the sides of the pan a little. I tap on top of the bread with the knife’s flat side and listen for a nice hollow sound. LOL (pretty old school).

    This recipe also makes good rolls. Bake the rolls at 425 degrees for 15-20 minutes.

    Marti

  • How to Beat Inflation

    How to Beat Inflation

    The Federal Reserve’s own books, numerous status quo economists, and mainstream media publications claim inflation in the U.S. is at most a mere 2%.  The Fed advises that inflationary expectations are “well-anchored at 2%” for the immediate future.  Yet, the economy is still reeling from the events of the past year and the cost of everyday items continues to rise.  The government continues to try and pump money into the economy while borrowing and printing money against what appears to me an uncertain future.  We’re seeing inflation happening in real time right in front of our eyes.  You may have begun to see this in the stores, restaurants, even at the gas pump.  The price of gas has risen 30% in the last 60 days alone.  As gas prices increase, so do the cost of food and any other product distributed across our roads, airways, and waterways.  I recently released a blog on the foodflation crisis which I’ll link to in the cards above. You have probably seen for yourself how your grocery and dining costs have massively increased in recent months, just as portion and package sizes have become smaller.  Every time I do a video like this, the overwhelming response is, “I see it too, but what can I do?”   This blog will focus on the practical things you need to do now to position yourself to weather the storm of the inflation of everything.  I will hit on some important things you can do to set yourself better and wrap up with some rapid points you should consider.  While I am not a financial consultant or advisor, I would encourage you to do your own research before allocating any of your precious resources, but also know that I want to educate you and provide some practical, actionable information for you to make the best decisions you can. What can you do now to prepare for insane inflation, a dollar weakening further, an economy teetering on collapse, and a global resetting of the economy away from physical fiat currencies?  Let’s find out… Tend to Your Own Home Type the phrase “how to beat inflation” into any search engine. Most of the advice will be for investing and picking up assets that will outpace the dollar’s devaluation. For preppers, though, our concerns are different. They are rooted in the practical, physical world.  While I will address some aspects of investing near the end of this video, the first real practical solution to hedge against inflation is to tend to your own home.  This is a broad category, so I’ll address each part of what I mean by the term individually. First, determine how long your stores of food, water, power, and other supplies really would sustain you if it were all you had to get by.  How many days, weeks, or months could you survive if the grid were to fail or the dollar would become worthless?  Take that amount of time and multiply it by one and a half to assume you are also rationing and forced onto a starvation-type diet.  How far into the future would that get you?  If it’s just 30 days, you need to prioritize long-term food storage, water filtration, and the acquiring of other natural resources you need to survive.  Whether that is learning to forage, garden, hunt, and fish, or knowing alternate sources of water and filtration techniques.   You need to make sure the resources you need to survive are still available to your house.  Turn your attention to your pantry and prep some long-term food storage.  Set a target for doubling and then tripling your supplies.  Do the same with your overall water capacity.  Stored water assumes that the municipal water or well water supply is down or undrinkable.  Having a means to filter water or boil water increases your overall water capacity.   Second, expand your concept of shelter.  If you are an apartment dweller, what’s your plan when you are evicted?  Where do you fall back to or move to?  If you have a mortgage and note that here I didn’t refer to you as a home “owner,” what are your financial plans to make sure the mortgage is paid even in an extended economic depression?  Watch for bailout programs in the future, but right now, focus on any opportunities to add efficiency values to your home or reduce your monthly expenditures.  Can you add solar?  Can you add a well?  Can you add a home wind turbine?  Any of those will help you to become less grid-dependent.  Is now the time to refinance the whole home and reduce your monthly costs?  I recently refinanced my home at 2.5% and the rates are still relatively low. Third, reduce monthly expenditures.  If you have a second car that you needed when both you and your spouse commuted to your jobs, now is the time to consider getting rid of it.  Are your tiny subscription services adding up to a small fortune?  Are you using the three entertainment services, online and automatic subscriptions, or a gym membership?  Are you getting value from them?  Now is the time to take a critical look at every single expenditure you have.  Print and write them all out.  Modifying just a few will add up to a better financial situation for you when things go south.  Eliminating any credit debt through consolidation, interest payment reduction, and a better payment strategy will create a more stable financial footing for you.  Right now, many credit companies will offer a zero-interest card to consolidate credit debt.  When the economy tanks, that option will no longer exist.  However, applying that interest payment to principal could help get you closer to zero debt faster.  Look at every dollar into your house and sweat every penny out.  If you can refinance a house or car, consider doing that to attack other debt or invest in your home or supplies.  If you’re buying meals, snacks, or coffee out, it may add up to a significant chunk of change every month once you take the time to calculate it.  Take the time to calculate it. Tend to your own home.  Take a critical look at your finances and define a plan and an actual timeline.  Stick to the plan and secure your water and food capacities, your shelter, and work to bring your indebtedness of any form to zero.  This will position you solidly in a post-economic collapse world.  When inflation is driving prices up to the moon, your need to outlay any dollars that are decreasing in value will also be reduced. At Ground Level At the ground level, I am personally doing several things at the moment.  First, I am greatly expanding my garden.  Creating food security should be very important to you.  Even if you are an apartment dweller, you should be harvesting some food sources that you are growing– sprouts, herbs, mushrooms, or patio planters.  The key here is to learn.  I am also raising chickens to increase my food independence.  I am adding to my food reserves through long-term storage of a year’s supply of food and the use of a dehydrator and a freeze dryer.  You should make your food preps your number one priority as the cost of food is continuing to climb.  I have started a precipitation collection system, so any rainfall in southern California isn’t wasted.  I am investing in solar panels with backup batteries for my home to free myself a little more from the energy grid.  The price of electricity increases 8% annually where I live and my break even point for my solar system will be in 5 and ½ years.  I’m even going to be experimenting in a future video with Biogas to create a sustainable fuel supply. Look at your preps from a ground level and work to improve what you see on the ground.  Anything you can implement now to contribute to your long-term survival will pay dividends in a disaster, and it will dramatically lessen inflationary effects.  The best way to weather a dramatic economic trough is to cultivate your resources.  When eggs are no longer being delivered to the store or the price has climbed to ten or more dollars a dozen, you won’t notice if you have chickens or spent the time dehydrating and preserving eggs in times of abundance.  When beer is a luxury that can no longer be afforded, but you have five gallons of homebrew, you just became the wealthiest person in your neighborhood.  If you can’t buy clothes anymore, but you were smart enough to prep sewing supplies, some fabric and learned that skill, you won’t suffer as much.  If you already have some food coming to your table from what you have grown, you won’t be starting from scratch but will merely be ramping up your efforts when an economic disaster occurs.  Look at your preps from a ground level and be honest with yourself about how prepared you actually are. Change Your Priorities & Skills So when we were all locked down, did you make any changes to your life, or did you just watch more television?  Perhaps, you found City Prepping and were introduced to the way, but have you implemented any of the strategies?  The fact is that governments can fail, economies can collapse, money can be reduced to less value than the paper it is written on and used as kindling.  One thing that can never be taken from you is your knowledge and skills.  And, those are two different things. You may have learned how to fish and what equipment you need, but any angler will tell you that’s not enough.  You need practice and trial and error to develop the skills you need.  You may have learned how to build a shelter from the hundreds of hours of wilderness survival shows you watched, but I guarantee you it’s probably going to leak or collapse in on you if you’ve never actually built one.  If you don’t own a hatchet or machete or wood saw, you probably don’t have the equipment you need.  If you have never used these tools in an actual situation, your risk of personal injury is significantly increased in a time when you are under pressure to survive.  If you haven’t hunted in recent years, but you own a small personal weapons cache, they probably won’t net you any game for your table in an extended economic collapse.  Change your priorities to cultivate knowledge and apply that knowledge to gain the skills you need. Some people may have gained more than 1.5 pounds on average per month during Covid-19 shelter-in-place orders last March and April.  Their goals may have been to stay fit and active, but their priorities weren’t aligned.  When inflation skyrockets, most will be forced to work harder and longer for the same or less compensation.  That can take a toll on our bodies.  If we are forced from our homes’ comfort and into the elements, let’s be perfectly honest, most would die.  If inflation leads to an economic collapse, leading to an entire grid-down situation, making your health and fitness a priority now will increase your odds of survival later. Realign your goals and reestablish your priorities as if a collapse is probable.  Increase your knowledge, then turn that knowledge into real, practical skills.  Your personal, internal resources can never be taken from you, and while the cost of everything goes up, so does the value of your internal resources.  If you’ve learned to pull food from the wild by hunting, fishing, or foraging, you have created a valuable commodity in yourself that can be used later for acquiring other items you may need to survive or just to keep yourself alive. Adjust Your Assets I mentioned earlier I’m not a financial advisor.  Like you, I study to figure out how best to allocate my resources.  I do know that in an emergency, suddenly, some things of value become less valuable.  Items of little value can become incredibly valuable and in short supply.  If the just-in-time system fails, how much would the price of a pound of flour or sugar skyrocket when the existing shelf supply is gobbled up, hoarded, and not replenished? In an actual economic disaster where inflation skyrockets and the dollar collapses, a large amount of cash in a bank is the equivalent of a singing fish for your wall or a Chia pet.  It might be good for a short laugh, but it has no real long-term value.  $10,000 in the bank with the buying power of $1,000 or less won’t get you through a great depression.  You need to adjust your assets as if fiat currency may be slow to recover or may be replaced or supplanted altogether.  Inflation forces a readjustment of resources.  Economic downturns typically have some recovery as well.  Depending upon how you have allocated your fiscal resources will determine how well and how expediently you can recover. First, as I mentioned earlier, your personal prepping should be to eliminate any personal debt.  You want to bring yourself to zero indebtedness.  Only this will calm the waters of the economic storm around you.  For some, getting to zero isn’t possible in the short term, but you still need to try. When I first got married, my wife and I used the Dave Ramsey Financial Peace plan and were able to aggressively pay off debt.  It was liberating to say the least.   Every prepper has a hierarchy of assets.  Each asset helps you through a particular period of a specific type of disaster.  In any disaster of any duration, the first assets of beans, bullets, and band-aids are your most reliable.  If the disaster leads to a total collapse, other assets will be useless in comparison.  As I mentioned, currency is a good asset, so long as it retains any value as prices go up and its value decreases.  When asked if they plan for emergencies, most Americans point to a savings account where they have some money set aside.  Currency is worthless in an extended grid-down situation.  Many turn to precious metals, as precious metals offer a means of transaction when fiat currencies fail.  Precious metals also can expedite a personal recovery.  Stocks and bonds are suitable for fiscal stability and recession-proofing your life, but these are worthless in a grid-down situation or a global economic collapse.  Cryptocurrency allows you to retain some value by moving assets across borders anywhere in the world and bringing it back into your fiat currency when the time is right; however, you cannot spend cryptocurrency on a loaf of bread or a can of beans, pay for services, or even access it in a grid-down situation. When you adjust your assets, I suggest you diversify at all the asset levels.  First, make sure that your prepping supplies are in order–the beans, bullets, and band-aids.  Yes, have some of it tucked away in savings for the more minor emergencies that befall you.  You can sometimes leave a temporary natural disaster zone by packing up your vehicle and bugging out to a secure location or another town with just a few emergency dollars in your pocket and some basic supplies.  You can then return during the recovery phase.  Precious metals are suitable through an extended down period and in the recovery phase, so long as they are in small, tradeable amounts and their constant value is agreed upon between the trading parties.  Some precious metals also have utility for water purification and electroconductivity, so if things get genuinely dystopian, they will have other value for you.   And finally, I think it makes good sense to be prepping by putting even a little each paycheck into cryptocurrency. While in most emergencies, cryptocurrency will be of no value, if you have to flee your country’s borders, need to send your assets out of the country to a more stable economy, or are actively recovering from a prolonged economic downturn, you will be glad you have some cryptocurrency.  The fact is that several countries are experimenting or planning to launch a cryptocurrency.  If no disaster befalls you, your early entry of even a hundred dollars a month into cryptocurrency may be one of the best preps you ever make. I know that I spread my assets out at all levels, and I encourage others to do the same. Conclusion It would be nice if inflation never rose above 2% this year or in the coming years, but I don’t think that’s a reasonable expectation.  There are just too many warning signs and the fact that the Fed keeps printing cash, it’s an inevitability at this point.  If we can say anything with absolute certainty, it is that inflation occurs, and economies do slide into recessions, depressions, even collapse from their greatness altogether.  As a prepper, you should be hard focused on tending to your home, setting reasonable goals and priorities, adjusting every type of asset you have, and taking an honest look at your ground-level preps.  What do you think? What’s your crucial prep to insulate yourself from skyrocketing inflation?  As always, please stay safe out there.